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. 2020 Feb 27;15(2):e0229689. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0229689

Table 2. Influence of climate variables and latitude on freshwater turtle life-history traits.

Generalized Additive Models were used to predict responses of four freshwater turtle life-history traits: clutch size, clutch frequency, age at sexual maturity and adult survival.

Model ln clutch size (n = 165) ln clutch frequency (n = 102) ln age at sexual maturity (n = 75) arcsine adult survival (n = 37)
Continuous latitude Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p
Intercept 0.78 0.05 *** 0.12 0.05 * 0.75 0.02 *** 0.12 0.03 ***
Log carapace length 0.29 0.02 *** 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.02 *** 0.01 0.03
Latitude 0.13 0.00 *** -0.09 0.04 * 0.06 0.02 ** 0.04 0.03
Smooth Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p
Family 8.1/11 6.48 *** 5.0 / 11 1.2 * 0.0 / 10 0.0 0.0 / 7 0.0
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b 0.78 / 77.6% 0.12 / 17.9% 0.19 / 20.2 0.01 / 6.7
Categorical latitude Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p
Intercept 0.85 0.06 *** 0.12 0.06 . 0.76 0.05 *** 0.10 0.06
Log carapace length 0.29 0.02 *** 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.03 * -0.01 0.04
Latitude temp-trop 0.04 0.05 -0.06 0.08 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.06
trop-temp -0.13 0.05 * 0.06 0.09 -0.11 0.07 0.07 0.09
tropical -0.21 0.05 *** 0.04 0.09 -0.02 0.08 -0.05 0.12
Smooth Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p
Family 7.9/11 6.27 *** 2.7 / 11 0.4 4.7 / 10 0.9 . 2.5 / 7 0.6
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b 0.76 / 75.8% 0.03 / 9.3% 0.24 / 32.2% 0.07 / 23.8%
Bioclimate - temp Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p
Intercept 0.76 0.05 *** 0.12 0.04 ** 0.72 0.04 *** 0.11 0.03 **
Log carapace length 0.27 0.02 *** 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.03 ** 0.02 0.03
Temp. warm quarter (bio10) -0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 -0.06 0.02 ** -0.08 0.03 *
Smooth Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p
Family 7.0 / 11 4.39 *** 3.4 / 11 0.6 . 5.4 / 10 1.2 * 0.0 / 7 0.0
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b 0.72 / 69.8% 0.05 / 9.9% 0.31 / 37.7% 0.12 / 16.7%
Bioclimate - rain Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p Est. a SE p
Intercept 0.76 0.05 *** 0.12 0.04 ** 0.73 0.05 *** 0.15 0.03 ***
Log carapace length 0.27 0.02 *** 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.03 * -0.01 0.03
Rain dry quarter (bio17) -0.03 0.02 . 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.04
Smooth Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p Edf/ref F p
Family 7.4/11 5.71 *** 2.5 / 11 0.3 5.7 / 10 1.5 * 0.0 / 7 0.0
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b 0.72 / 70.5% 0.02 / 7.0% 0.24 / 31.6% -0.04 / 1.4%

Each model contained Family as a random effect (smooth GAM term specified with “re” basis) and body size (ln transformed carapace length) as a parametric term; Asterisks indicate significant level of estimated parameters (*** P < 0.001; ** P < 0.01; * P < 0.05; ‘.’ P < 0.1).

a Standardized regression coefficient (obtained by dividing the centered response values by their standard deviations) and associated standard error (SE).

b Model adjusted r-squared and deviance explained (%)