Table 2. Influence of climate variables and latitude on freshwater turtle life-history traits.
Model | ln clutch size (n = 165) | ln clutch frequency (n = 102) | ln age at sexual maturity (n = 75) | arcsine adult survival (n = 37) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Continuous latitude | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | |
Intercept | 0.78 | 0.05 | *** | 0.12 | 0.05 | * | 0.75 | 0.02 | *** | 0.12 | 0.03 | *** | |
Log carapace length | 0.29 | 0.02 | *** | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.02 | *** | 0.01 | 0.03 | |||
Latitude | 0.13 | 0.00 | *** | -0.09 | 0.04 | * | 0.06 | 0.02 | ** | 0.04 | 0.03 | ||
Smooth | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | |
Family | 8.1/11 | 6.48 | *** | 5.0 / 11 | 1.2 | * | 0.0 / 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 / 7 | 0.0 | |||
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b | 0.78 / 77.6% | 0.12 / 17.9% | 0.19 / 20.2 | 0.01 / 6.7 | |||||||||
Categorical latitude | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | |
Intercept | 0.85 | 0.06 | *** | 0.12 | 0.06 | . | 0.76 | 0.05 | *** | 0.10 | 0.06 | ||
Log carapace length | 0.29 | 0.02 | *** | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.03 | * | -0.01 | 0.04 | |||
Latitude | temp-trop | 0.04 | 0.05 | -0.06 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.06 | ||||
trop-temp | -0.13 | 0.05 | * | 0.06 | 0.09 | -0.11 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.09 | ||||
tropical | -0.21 | 0.05 | *** | 0.04 | 0.09 | -0.02 | 0.08 | -0.05 | 0.12 | ||||
Smooth | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | |
Family | 7.9/11 | 6.27 | *** | 2.7 / 11 | 0.4 | 4.7 / 10 | 0.9 | . | 2.5 / 7 | 0.6 | |||
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b | 0.76 / 75.8% | 0.03 / 9.3% | 0.24 / 32.2% | 0.07 / 23.8% | |||||||||
Bioclimate - temp | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | |
Intercept | 0.76 | 0.05 | *** | 0.12 | 0.04 | ** | 0.72 | 0.04 | *** | 0.11 | 0.03 | ** | |
Log carapace length | 0.27 | 0.02 | *** | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.03 | ** | 0.02 | 0.03 | |||
Temp. warm quarter (bio10) | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.06 | 0.02 | ** | -0.08 | 0.03 | * | |||
Smooth | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | |
Family | 7.0 / 11 | 4.39 | *** | 3.4 / 11 | 0.6 | . | 5.4 / 10 | 1.2 | * | 0.0 / 7 | 0.0 | ||
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b | 0.72 / 69.8% | 0.05 / 9.9% | 0.31 / 37.7% | 0.12 / 16.7% | |||||||||
Bioclimate - rain | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | Est. a | SE | p | |
Intercept | 0.76 | 0.05 | *** | 0.12 | 0.04 | ** | 0.73 | 0.05 | *** | 0.15 | 0.03 | *** | |
Log carapace length | 0.27 | 0.02 | *** | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.03 | * | -0.01 | 0.03 | |||
Rain dry quarter (bio17) | -0.03 | 0.02 | . | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | ||||
Smooth | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | Edf/ref | F | p | |
Family | 7.4/11 | 5.71 | *** | 2.5 / 11 | 0.3 | 5.7 / 10 | 1.5 | * | 0.0 / 7 | 0.0 | |||
R2 ajust / Dev. Exp b | 0.72 / 70.5% | 0.02 / 7.0% | 0.24 / 31.6% | -0.04 / 1.4% |
Each model contained Family as a random effect (smooth GAM term specified with “re” basis) and body size (ln transformed carapace length) as a parametric term; Asterisks indicate significant level of estimated parameters (*** P < 0.001; ** P < 0.01; * P < 0.05; ‘.’ P < 0.1).
a Standardized regression coefficient (obtained by dividing the centered response values by their standard deviations) and associated standard error (SE).
b Model adjusted r-squared and deviance explained (%)