Table 2.
Parameterization used in the model developed by Dorigatti et al. [21] to estimate the risk of disease introduction, their definitions and data sources.
Parameter | Definition | Data source (references) |
---|---|---|
TD→O | Number of resident travelers in unaffected areas traveling to Latin America and the Caribbean during the epidemic time window (residency was defined by the point of ticket sale) | OAG dataset [25] |
TO→D | Number of resident travelers in Latin America and the Caribbean traveling to unaffected areas during the epidemic time window (residency was defined by the point of ticket sale) | |
λ | Per capita risk of infection of international travelers during their stay in Latin America and the Caribbean | Refer to Equation 1.2 |
pH | Probability of travelers returning home while incubating or infectious | Refer to Equation 1.3 |
pO→D | Per capita probability that a resident of Latin America and the Caribbean travels to unaffected areas | Refer to Equation 1.5 |
pI | Probability that an infected case incubates or is infectious in the epidemic time window | Refer to Equation 1.6 |
N | Number of cases in Latin America and the Caribbean | PAHO weekly database [26] |
popO | Population size of Latin America and the Caribbean | |
W | Epidemic time window (days) | |
L | Average length of stay of travelers visiting Latin America and the Caribbean (days) | U.S. Department of Commerce [ [27,28]] |
TE | Intrinsic incubation period (days) | Publication [29] |
TI | Human infectious period (days) | Publication [ [30,31]] |