Table 3.
Parameterization used to model the three transmissibility scenarios (low, moderate and high) to estimate the risk of autochthonous Zika virus transmission and their data sources.
Transmissibility scenario | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Parameter | Low | Moderate | High | Data source |
Number of female mosquitoes per person | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.85 | [37] |
Number of bites per mosquito per day | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | [35] |
Average duration of human infectious period (days) | 5 | 5 | 5 | [30,31] |
Average vector longevity (days) | 27 | 27 | 27 | [35] |
Average proportion of vectors surviving the extrinsic incubation period | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.89 | [35,36] |
Effective transmission rate from human to vector | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 | [39] |
Effective transmission rate from vector to human | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | – |