Table 5.

Percentage change in probability of autochthonous transmission if the estimated mean number of seeds were independently introduced in each Southeast Asian country and the population immunity was increased from 0 to 90%.

Southeast Asian country	Probability of autochthonous transmission if population is fully susceptible	Probability of autochthonous transmission if 90% of population is immune to Zika virus		Percentage difference in probability when population immunity was increased from 0 to 90%
Low transmissibility scenario
Indonesia	0.38	0.22	−42%
Malaysia	0.21	0.11	−48%
The Philippines	0.69	0.46	−33%
Singapore	0.51	0.31	−39%
Thailand	0.65	0.42	−35%
Vietnam	0.11	0.06	−45%
Average			−41%
Moderate transmissibility scenario
Indonesia	0.40	0.23	−43%
Malaysia	0.22	0.12	−45%
The Philippines	0.72	0.48	−33%
Singapore	0.53	0.33	−38%
Thailand	0.68	0.45	−34%
Vietnam	0.12	0.06	−50%
Average			−40%
High transmissibility scenario
Indonesia	0.41	0.25	−39%
Malaysia	0.23	0.13	−43%
The Philippines	0.74	0.51	−31%
Singapore	0.55	0.35	−36%
Thailand	0.70	0.47	−33%
Vietnam	0.12	0.07	−42%
Average			−37%