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. 2020 Mar 2;17(3):e1003032. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003032

Table 2. Association between maternal gluten intake during pregnancy (n = 86,306) or the child’s intake at 18 months (n = 66,725) and the risk of type 1 diabetes in the child.

Gluten intake Cases Incidence rate (per 100,000) HR (95% CI) of type 1 diabetes
Unadjusted p-Value Adjusted model 1* p-Value Adjusted model 2 (primary model) p-Value Adjusted model 3 p-Value
Maternal/pregnancy
Continuous, per 10-g/day increase 346 36.6 1.04 (0.86–1.27) 0.68 1.02 (0.81–1.30) 0.84 1.02 (0.73–1.43) 0.91 1.01 (0.71–1.42) 0.97
By category
<7.6 g/day 23 22.3 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref.
7.6–9.5 g/day 45 42.6 1.90 (1.13–3.18) 0.01 1.90 (1.13–3.20) 0.01 1.71 (0.94–3.09) 0.08 1.65 (0.91–3.00) 0.10
9.5–13.0 g/day 102 32.0 1.42 (0.89–2.27) 0.14 1.44 (0.90–2.31) 0.13 1.37 (0.79–2.37) 0.26 1.32 (0.76–2.30) 0.32
13.0–17.3 g/day 99 31.1 1.39 (0.87–2.22) 0.17 1.39 (0.84–2.29) 0.18 1.23 (0.67–2.26) 0.51 1.20 (0.65–2.20) 0.56
17.3–20.1 g/day 42 39.5 1.76 (1.04–2.96) 0.03 1.81 (1.04–3.16) 0.04 1.50 (0.75–2.98) 0.25 1.41 (0.71–2.82) 0.33
>20.1 g/day 55 32.7 1.45 (0.85–2.49) 0.18 1.44 (0.78–2.63) 0.23 1.60 (0.75–3.39) 0.22 1.56 (0.73–3.33) 0.24
ptrend 0.43 0.45 0.53 0.55
Child/18 months of life
Continuous, per 10-g/day increase 262 35.9 1.44 (1.05–1.98) 0.03 1.44 (1.05–1.98) 0.02 1.46 (1.06–2.01) 0.02 1.41 (1.01–1.96) 0.04
By category
<4.8 g/day 19 26.3 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref.
4.8–5.8 g/day 25 34.3 1.32 (0.72–2.44) 0.37 1.32 (0.72–2.43) 0.37 1.30 (0.71–2.40) 0.39 1.37 (0.73–2.56) 0.32
5.8–8.2 g/day 77 34.9 1.35 (0.81–2.26) 0.25 1.34 (0.80–2.25) 0.26 1.33 (0.80–2.23) 0.27 1.40 (0.82–2.37) 0.22
8.2–11.4 g/day 76 34.7 1.25 (0.74–2.10) 0.40 1.24 (0.74–2.10) 0.41 1.24 (0.74–2.09) 0.42 1.24 (0.73–2.11) 0.43
11.4–13.5 g/day 30 41.2 1.61 (0.89–2.90) 0.11 1.60 (0.89–2.89) 0.12 1.61 (0.89–2.91) 0.11 1.58 (0.87–2.89) 0.14
>13.5 g/day 35 48.2 1.84 (1.04–3.27) 0.04 1.85 (1.04–3.28) 0.04 1.86 (1.05–3.30) 0.03 1.86 (1.04–3.34) 0.04
ptrend 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.07

*Model 1 (as in Antvorskov and colleagues [14]): adjusted for maternal age, prepregnant maternal BMI, parity, smoking during pregnancy, education, cesarean section, breastfeeding, sex, and energy intake.

Model 2 (primary model): as model 1 with additional adjustment for birth weight, age at gluten introduction, prematurity, fibre intake, weight gain 0–12 months, and child’s or mother’s gluten intake (mutually adjusted exposures).

Model 3: as model 2 with additional adjustment for child coeliac disease.

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; Ref., Reference category