Table 3.

 Cross-validated performance of models for prediction of final eGFR

Model	Basic covariates		Basic covariates + ACR		Full covariates
	ΔLoglik	r2 (95% PI)	ΔLoglik	r2 (95% PI)	ΔLoglik	r2 (95% PI)
Clinical covariates only	–	0.702 (0.700, 0.704)	–	0.722 (0.720, 0.724)	–	0.758 (0.756, 0.761)
Serum biomarkers	120.9	0.743 (0.740, 0.746)	73.3	0.746 (0.743, 0.749)	56.3	0.775 (0.772, 0.777)
Urine biomarkers	54.2	0.721 (0.718, 0.724)	21.6	0.729 (0.726, 0.732)	19.2	0.764 (0.761, 0.767)

Basic and full clinical covariates are listed in the footnotes to Table 2

ΔLoglik, difference in test log-likelihood (natural logarithm) with respect to the model containing only clinical covariates; PI, posterior uncertainty interval