Table 3. Stratified analyses estimating associations between microcephaly and maternal and newborn co-factors in each cohort.
Univariate analyses assessing the relationship between maternal and newborn factors and microcephaly in each cohort are shown. For each cohort the frequency of cases is shown, and χ 2 test used for all analyses. When all variables that were statistically significant at p<0.05 in any of the cohorts (indicated by *) were included in a multivariable logistic regression model, only SGA maintained an association with microcephaly (adjusted OR=3.41, 95% CI 2.30, 5.06, p<0.001).
LMP cohort | Scanned cohort | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Covariate | Categories | n/N cases (%) | P value | n/N cases (%) | P value |
A) Newborn factors | |||||
Sex | Male | 58/4047 (1.4%) | 0.10 | 11/747 (1.5%) | 0.18 |
Female | 37/3618 (1.0%) | 5/685 (0.7%) | |||
Small for gestational age (SGA) * | Normal | 51/6184 (0.8%) | <0.001 | 10/1147 (0.9%) | 0.08 |
SGA | 44/1481 (3.0%) | 6/285 (2.1%) | |||
Type of birth * | Singleton | 92/7472 (1.2%) | 0.69 | 14/1393 (1.0%) | 0.001 |
Multifetal | 3/193 (1.5%) | 2/25 (8.0%) | |||
Year of birth | 2012 | 17/1312 (1.3%) | 0.05 | 0/69 (0) | 0.75 |
2013 | 25/1225 (2.0%) | 3/274 (1.1%) | |||
2014 | 14/1712 (0.8%) | 9/667 (1.3%) | |||
2015 | 19/1621 (1.2%) | 4/422 (0.9%) | |||
2016 | 20/1795 (1.1%) | No data | |||
&Season | January - March | 21/1835 (1.1%) | 0.33 | 3/410 (0.7%) | 0.18 |
April - June | 34/2379 (1.4%) | 7/363 (1.9%) | |||
July - September | 17/1899 (0.9%) | 5/341 (1.5%) | |||
October - December | 23/1552 (1.5%) | 1/318 (0.3%) | |||
B) Maternal factors | |||||
Sociodemographic factors | |||||
Maternal age | <20 years | 14/1164 (1.2%) | 0.49 | 3/175 (1.7%) | 0.59 |
20 to 35 years | 76/5835 (1.3%) | 11/1131 (1.0%) | |||
>35 years | 5/659 (0.7%) | 2/124 (1.6%) | |||
Marital status * | Married | 87/6999 (1.2%) | 0.68 | 12/1330 (0.9%) | 0.002 |
Unmarried | 6/575 (1.2%) | 4/90 (4.4%) | |||
Education level | Secondary or more | 20/2221 (0.9%) | 0.22 | 1/406 (0.2%) | 0.15 |
Primary school | 62/4443 (1.4%) | 11/810 (1.4%) | |||
None | 10/832 (1.2%) | 3/178 (1.7%) | |||
Residence | Other | 60/5293 (1.1%) | 0.19 | 10/600 (1.7%) | 0.09 |
Kilifi township | 35/2346 (1.5%) | 6/830 (0.7%) | |||
Type of house * | Stone wall | 36/3902 (0.9%) | 0.02 | 9/800 (1.1%) | 0.99 |
Mud wall | 56/3708 (1.5%) | 7/620 (1.1%) | |||
Obstetric history | |||||
Parity | Primigravida | 39/2814 (1.4%) | 0.40 | 2/488 (0.4%) | 0.06 |
Multigravida | 56/4812 (1.2%) | 14/926 (1.5%) | |||
Antenatal care | |||||
Antenatal care attendance | ≥4 visits | 57/4501 (1.3%) | 0.87 | 12/1221 (1.0%) | 0.22 |
0 to 3 visits | 38/3102 (1.2%) | 4/203 (2.0%) | |||
Medication during pregnancy | |||||
Folic acid supplements | Yes | 86/6947 (1.2%) | 0.95 | 16/1345 (1.2%) | 0.32 |
No | 9/713 (1.3%) | 0/82 (0) | |||
Malaria prophylaxis | ≥3 doses | 53/4106 (1.3%) | 0.07 | 8/1060 (0.7%) | 0.05 |
1 to 2 doses | 40/2785 (1.4%) | 7/285 (2.5%) | |||
None | 2/632 (0.3%) | 1/57 (1.7%) | |||
Tetanus vaccination | Yes | 79/6456 (1.2%) | 0.82 | 16/1250 (1.3%) | 0.17 |
No | 13/994 (1.3%) | 0/143 (0) | |||
Maternal co-morbidities and infections | |||||
Mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) | Normal (23-30cm) | 65/5417 (1.2%) | 0.85 | 11/1073 (1.0%) | 0.22 |
Low (<23cm) | 9/822 (1.1%) | 4/168 (2.4%) | |||
High (≥30cm) | 8/812 (1.0%) | 1/185 (0.5%) | |||
Hypertension in pregnancy | No | 77/6296 (1.2%) | 0.31 | 15/1327 (1.1%) | 0.996 |
Yes | 8/452 (1.8%) | 1/88 (1.1%) | |||
HIV status | Negative | 91/7277 (1.1%) | 0.78 | 16/1328 (1.2%) | 0.30 |
Positive | 4/278 (1.4%) | 0/87 (0) | |||
Maternal anaemia | No | 19/1885 (1.0%) | 0.46 | 2/436 (0.5%) | 0.21 |
Yes | 56/4570 (1.2%) | 10/866 (1.1%) | |||
VDRL (syphilis test) | Negative | 79/6732 (1.2%) | 0.34 | 16/1282 (1.2%) | 0.71 |
Positive | 1/34 (2.9%) | 0/11 (0) | |||
Other risk exposures | |||||
Substance use | No | 93/7459 (1.2%) | 0.75 | 15/1396 (1.1%) | 0.26 |
Yes | 2/201 (1.0%) | 1/31 (3.2%) | |||
Contact with cattle | No | 87/6907 (1.3%) | 0.99 | 14/1318 (1.1%) | 0.13 |
Yes | 5/399 (1.2%) | 2/64 (3.1%) |