Table 1.
Entire Sample (n=111,110) |
No Baseline Violent Offense (n = 79,337) |
Baseline Violent Offense (n = 31,762) |
|
---|---|---|---|
A. Outcome: Ever Arrested for Violent Crime | |||
1 year since sentence | −0.072 | −0.054 | −0.081 |
(−0.089 , −0.056) | (−0.073 , −0.035) | (−0.103 , −0.059) | |
p<0.001 | p<0.001 | p<0.001 | |
3 years since sentence | −0.099 | −0.082 | −0.142 |
(−0.125 , −0.073) | (−0.113 , −0.051) | (−0.175 , −0.109) | |
p<0.001 | p<0.001 | p<0.001 | |
5 years since sentence | −0.084 | −0.046 | −0.162 |
(−0.114 , −0.054) | (−0.081 , −0.010) | (−0.201 , −0.124) | |
p<0.001 | p=0.013 | p<0.001 | |
B. Outcome: Ever Convicted of Violent Crime | |||
1 year since sentence | −0.012 | −0.010 | −0.022 |
(−0.021 , −0.004) | (−0.019 , −0.001) | (−0.034 , −0.010) | |
p=0.004 | p=0.034 | p<0.001 | |
3 years since sentence | −0.037 | −0.039 | −0.069 |
(−0.055 , −0.020) | (−0.058 , −0.020) | (−0.092 , −0.045) | |
p<0.001 | p<0.001 | p<0.001 | |
5 years since sentence | −0.024 | −0.025 | −0.061 |
(−0.045 , −0.003) | (−0.049 , −0.001) | (−0.090 , −0.032) | |
p=0.026 | p=0.042 | p<0.001 |
Each cell contains one unstandardized coefficient from a different 2-Stage Least Squares regression model, the coefficient’s 95% confidence interval, and its p-value (two tailed test). Coefficients represent the change in the probability of one or more arrests or convictions for a violent crime during follow-up due to prison vs. probation sentence at baseline, holding sentence length constant at 24 months. Full model results, model fit statistics, and coefficient z-statistics in Supplementary Table 7.