. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 May 1.

Published in final edited form as: Environ Dev Econ. 2019 Aug 1;25(2):135–158. doi: 10.1017/S1355770X19000214

Table 5:

Intent-to-treat and Climate Heterogeneous Effects of Cash Transfer on Male Migration, by Wealth

	Any move		Moves near		Moves far
	(1) Poor	(2) Less Poor	(3) Poor	(4) Less Poor	(5) Poor	(6) Less Poor
Panel A: Climate Anomalies
T	−0.001	−0.026	−0.017	−0.012	0.015	−0.016
	(0.018)	(0.016)	(0.015)	(0.010)	(0.010)	(0.012)
T x Rain	0.005	0.007	0.014	0.029	−0.005	−0.020
	(0.022)	(0.028)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.021)	(0.021)
T x Temp	0.006	−0.032	−0.018	−0.041	0.023	0.003
	(0.026)	(0.023)	(0.023)	(0.017)^**	(0.015)	(0.018)
Rain	0.064	0.089	0.057	0.040	0.010	0.053
	(0.021)^***	(0.030)^***	(0.019)^***	(0.018)^**	(0.017)	(0.024)^**
Temp	−0.055	−0.061	−0.043	−0.025	−0.019	−0.038
	(0.022)^**	(0.026)^**	(0.020)^**	(0.015)	(0.014)	(0.022)^*
R²	0.09	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.05
F statistic, p-values
H_a=Rain + T x Rain; H_a =0	0.001	0.006	0.000	0.007	0.730	0.095
H_b=Temp + T x Temp; H_b =0	0.033	0.004	0.001	0.000	0.798	0.798
H_a (1/3/5)= H_a (2/4/6)		0.459		0.966		0.237
H_b (1/3/5)= H_b (2/4/6)		0.222		0.828		0.185
Panel B: Positive vs. Negative Climate Anomalies
T	−0.001	−0.009	−0.024	0.009	0.018	−0.018
	(0.025)	(0.023)	(0.021)	(0.016)	(0.015)	(0.018)
T x Rain−	−0.014	−0.035	−0.006	−0.052	−0.008	0.012
	(0.047)	(0.037)	(0.037)	(0.027)^*	(0.028)	(0.033)
T x Rain+	−0.060	−0.033	0.007	0.053	−0.058	−0.091
	(0.071)	(0.101)	(0.071)	(0.058)	(0.052)	(0.075)
T x Temp−	0.002	0.021	0.025	0.020	−0.019	0.005
	(0.026)	(0.024)	(0.024)	(0.017)	(0.016)	(0.019)
T x Temp+	0.126	−0.037	0.018	−0.210	0.111	0.165
	(0.091)	(0.160)	(0.088)	(0.107)^*	(0.070)	(0.108)
Rain−	−0.043	−0.092	−0.052	−0.050	0.007	−0.039
	(0.036)	(0.034)^***	(0.035)	(0.022)^**	(0.020)	(0.029)
Rain+	0.125	0.104	0.074	0.009	0.056	0.116
	(0.055)^**	(0.069)	(0.052)	(0.043)	(0.039)	(0.050)^**
Temp−	0.042	0.047	0.035	0.023	0.013	0.022
	(0.024)^*	(0.023)^**	(0.022)	(0.016)	(0.017)	(0.019)
Temp+	−0.157	−0.177	−0.084	−0.019	−0.084	−0.194
	(0.065)^**	(0.104)^*	(0.056)	(0.078)	(0.046)^*	(0.070)^***
R²	0.09	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.06
F statistic, p-values
H_a=Rain− + T x Rain−; H_a =0	0.123	0.001	0.043	0.001	0.964	0.231
H_b=Rain+ + T x Rain+; H_b =0	0.185	0.356	0.139	0.154	0.962	0.658
H_c=Temp− + T x Temp−; H_c =0	0.075	0.013	0.009	0.006	0.692	0.692
H_d=Temp+ + T x Temp+; H_d =0	0.630	0.083	0.341	0.003	0.622	0.622
H_a (1/3/5)= H_a (2/4/6)		0.112		0.178		0.448
H_b (1/3/5)= H_b (2/4/6)		0.953		0.785		0.692
H_c (1/3/5)= H_c (2/4/6)		0.444		0.447		0.198
H_d (1/3/5)= H_d (2/4/6)		0.197		0.085		0.589
N	3,027	3,171	2,931	3,061	2,893	3,048

Notes: Unit of analysis is person-year. T abbreviates treatment. Rain+ and Temp+ use the absolute values of z scores that are greater than or equal to zero. Rain− and Temp− use the absolute values of z scores that are less than zero. Village-clustered standard errors reported. All specifications include individual and household explanatory variables, as well as district and survey fixed effects. The notation H_a (1/3/5) indicates equation H_a using the estimates from models 1, 3, or 5, respectively, depending on the table column. Thus, H_a (1/3/5)= H_a (2/4/6) is testing whether the expression H_a is equal for men from poor and less poor households using the estimates from models (1/3/5) and (2/4/6), respectively, depending on the table column.

p<0.1

^**

p<0.05

^***

p<0.01