Table 2.
Predictors | GLM | Mixed Effect Models | ||||
Model
Estimate |
Model 1
Estimate |
Model 2
Estimate |
Model 3
Estimate |
|||
(Intercept) | 5.143 (0.635) | −24.939 (0.020) | −13.866 (0.232) | 5.143 (0.735) | ||
Age | 0.103 (0.040) | 0.698 (0.002) | 0.483 (0.029) | 0.104 (0.042) | ||
Period (Reference: 1990) | ||||||
1995 | 0.836 (0.949) | 1.381 (0.565) | 0.836 (0.905) | 0.836 (0.905) | ||
2000 | 3.020 (0.817) | 3.098 (0.197) | 3.019 (0.667) | 3.019 (0.669) | ||
2005 | 5.591 (0.669) | 4.953 (0.039) | 5.590(0.426) | 5.591 (0.429) | ||
2010 | 10.290 (0.043) | 8.934 (0.000) | 10.290 (0.0144) | 10.290 (0.015) | ||
2015 | 14.734(0.026) | 13.600 (0.000) | 14.734 (0.036) | 14.734 (0.037) | ||
Risk (Reference: alcohol use) | ||||||
HBMI | 37.666 (0.000) | 31.728 (0.000) | 31.728 (0.000) | 37.666 (0.006) | ||
Low PA | −2.368 (0.822) | −10.199 (0.247) | −10.198 (0.251) | −2.440 (0.909) | ||
Smoking | −10.349 (0.374) | −11.891 (0.190) | −11.891 (0.194) | −11.162 (0.641) | ||
Age × 1995 | 0.043 (0.858) | 0.042 (0.738) | 0.043 (0.739) | |||
Age × 2000 | 0.118 (0.621) | 0.118 (0.357) | 0.118 (0.360) | |||
Age × 2005 | 0.204 (0.394) | 0.203 (0.113) | 0.204 (0.115) | |||
Age × 2010 | 0.372 (0.121) | 0.371 (0.004) | 0.372 (0.004) | |||
Age × 2015 | 0.548 (0.023) | 0.547 (0.000) | 0.548 (0.000) | |||
Age × HBMI | 1.388 (0.000) | 1.388 (0.000) | ||||
Age × Low PA | −0.131 (0.497) | −0.129 (0.741) | ||||
Age × Smoking | 0.007 (0.975) | 0.0193 (0.963) | ||||
Models Selection Parameters Estimates among GLM and Mixed Effect Models | ||||||
Model | AIC | BIC |
Log
Likelihood |
Test | L. Ratio | p-Value |
GLM | 2646.76 | 2716.74 | −1304.38 | |||
Model 1 | 2451.29 | 2499.18 | −1212.64 | GLM vs. 1 | 183.46 | <0.0001 |
Model 2 | 2434.55 | 2500.86 | −1199.27 | 1 vs. 2 | 26.73 | <0.0001 |
Model 3 | 2422.40 | 2499.76 | − 1190.20 | 2 vs. 3 | 18.14 | <0.0004 |
Notes: Data from GBD study in 2017; bold values denote statistical significance at p < 0.05.