Risk of incident atrial fibrillation per 2‐fold higher sphingolipid level. Hazard ratios and 95% CIs are presented; each line represents a separate model. Model 1 includes adjustment for age, sex, race, and study site; model 2 includes model 1 adjustment terms and additional adjustment for body mass index, systolic blood pressure, treated hypertension, smoking, alcohol use, high‐density lipoprotein, low‐density lipoprotein, PR interval, prevalent diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and history of myocardial infarction; in model 3, in addition to model 2 adjustment terms, ceramide with palmitic acid (Cer‐16) and sphingomyelin with palmitic acid (SM‐16) include adjustment for ceremide with behenic acid (Cer‐22) and sphingomyelin with behenic acid (SM‐22), respectively; ceramide with arachidic acid (Cer‐20), Cer‐22, ceremide with lignoceric acid (Cer‐24) and sphingomyelin with arachidic acid (SM‐20), SM‐22, and sphingomyelin with lignoceric acid (SM‐24) include adjustment for Cer‐16 and SM‐16, respectively.