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. 2020 Feb 19;9(2):571. doi: 10.3390/jcm9020571

Table 1.

Published estimates of the key epidemiological parameters of 2019-nCoV. Uncertainty range is given where provided.

R0 Incubation Period Method of Estimation Reference
2.6 (1.5–3.5) - Epidemic Simulations [19]
2.2 (1.4–3.8) - Stochastic Simulations [20]
2.9 (2.3–3.6) 4.8 days Exp. Growth, Max. Likelihood Est. [21]
2.56 (2.49–2.63) - Exp. Growth, Max. Likelihood Est. [17]
3.11 (2.3–4.1) - SEIR [22]
2.5 (2.0–3.1) - Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment model [23]
2.2 (1.4–3.9) 5.2 days (4.1–7.0) Renewal Equations [24]
−(1.4–4.0) - SEIR [25]
4.71 (4.5–4.9) 5.0 days (4.95.1) Dec. 2019, SEIJR, MCMC [26]
2.08 (1.9–2.2) - Jan. 2020, SEIJR, MCMC [26]
2.68 (2.4–2.9) - SEIR, MCMC [27]
- 5.8 days 4.6–7.9) Weibull [28]
- 4.6 days (3.3–5.8) Weibull incl. Wuhan [29]
- 5.0 days (4.0–5.8) Weibull excl. Wuhan [29]
- 5.1 days (4.4–6.1) LogNormal [30]