Table 2.
Scenarios considered modifying adult/subadult and juvenile survivals and breeding propensities to simulate bycatch reduction.
| Scenarios | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservation efforts | Current (Status quo) | if there was no relocation | Egg harvest eradicated & increased emergence | Egg harvest eradicated & head-start | Bycatch reduced 5%, current beach protection | Bycatch reduced 10%, current beach protection | Bycatch reduced 20%, current beach protection | Bycatch reduced 5%, increased emergence | Bycatch reduced 10%, increased emergence | Bycatch reduced 20%, increased emergence |
| Relocation | yes | no | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
| Egg harvest eradicated | no | no | yes | yes | no | no | no | no | no | no |
| Increased emergence success | no | no | yes | no | no | no | no | yes | yes | yes |
| Headstarting | no | no | no | yes | no | no | no | no | no | no |
| Bycatch reduction | no | no | no | no | 5% | 10% | 20% | 5% | 10% | 20% |
| POPULATION RESPONSES | ||||||||||
| λs | 0.864 | 0.860 | 0.896 | 0.873 | 0.898 | 0.936 | 1.013 | 0.943 | 0.963 | 1.041 |
| λs lower 95% CI | 0.834 | 0.828 | 0.867 | 0.842 | 0.869 | 0.904 | 0.981 | 0.893 | 0.931 | 1.008 |
| λs upper 95% CI | 0.896 | 0.895 | 0.930 | 0.906 | 0.928 | 0.968 | 1.042 | 0.960 | 0.994 | 1.071 |
| Time to extinction | 59 | 57 | 79 | 64 | 80 | 99 | — | 96 | — | — |
| Probability extinction in 100 yr | 1 | 1 | 0.904 | 0.991 | 0.887 | 0.147 | 0 | 0.352 | 0.003 | 0 |
Responses were measured as stochastic population growth rate (λs), time to extinction and probability of extinction in 100 years.