Table 4.
Projected population by dental caries status (millions)
| Outcomes | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | % change 2010–2040 | % change to base-case | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base-case | Very low DMFT | 19.52 (19.43–19.61) | 17.70 (17.56–17.85) | 15.52 (15.35–15.70) | 13.20 (13.02–13.38) | −31% | – |
| Low DMFT | 9.95 (9.86–10.05) | 10.94 (10.82–11.06) | 10.73 (10.60–10.86) | 9.76 (9.63–9.89) | − 2% | – | |
| Moderate DMFT | 8.37 (8.30–8.43) | 9.52 (9.42–9.61) | 10.09 (9.98–10.20) | 9.87 (9.73–9.96) | 18% | – | |
| High DMFT | 12.56 (12.51–12.61) | 15.21 (15.10–15.31) | 17.76 (17.60–17.92) | 19.79 (19.58–20.00) | 58% | – | |
| SSB Tax Policy | Very low DMFT | 19.52 (19.43–19.61) | 17.70 (17.56–17.85) | 15.73 (15.56–15.91) | 13.65 (13.47–13.83) | −30% | 3% |
| Low DMFT | 9.95 (9.86–10.05) | 10.94 (10.82–11.06) | 10.76 (10.63–10.88) | 9.88 (9.75–10.01) | −1% | 1% | |
| Moderate DMFT | 8.37 (8.30–8.43) | 9.52 (9.42–9.61) | 10.06 (9.96–10.17) | 9.83 (9.72–9.94) | 18% | −0.1% | |
| High DMFT | 12.56 (12.51–12.61) | 15.20 (15.10–15.31) | 17.54 (17.38–17.70) | 19.24 (19.03–19.44) | 53% | −3% | |
| Aggressive Policy | Very low DMFT | 19.52 (19.43–19.61) | 18.86 (18.73–18.99) | 20.91 (20.79–2104) | 21.49 (21.37–21.62) | 10% | 63% |
| Low DMFT | 9.95 (9.86–10.05) | 10.91 (10.80–11,03) | 11.46 (11.35–11.56) | 11.48 (11.38–11.58) | 15% | 18% | |
| Moderate DMFT | 8.37 (8.30–8.43) | 9.34 (9.25–9.43) | 9.37 (9.30–9.44) | 8.92 (8.86–8.98) | 7% | −9.4% | |
| High DMFT | 12.56 (12.51–12.61) | 14.26 (14.17–14.35) | 12.35 (12.27–12.43) | 10.70 (10.63–10.77) | −15% | −46% | |