Table 1.
SEIRS model parameter values used in application of the LLGMM parameter identification technique to the SEIRS model and influenza data. 100 simulations are used to determine delay constant (observation size) ; for all times j, . Simulation values selected from within the ranges determined from the data sources; see text for complete description of parameter ranges. The other simulation values are assumptions
Parameter | Description | Simulation Value | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Latency rate () | 3.5 | ||
Recovery rate () | 1 | ||
Loss of immunity rate () | 0.0078 | Xu et al. (2010); Kucharski et al. (2015) | |
Birth / death rate () | 0.0002 | ||
Initial time, week 40 of 2004 | 0 | ||
I(0) | Initial condition | 10 | , then scaled |
E(0), R(0) | Initial conditions | 0 | |
S(0) | Initial condition | ||
, | Initial conditions | 0 | |
M | Maximum allowed past data points | 4, 13, 26, 52 weeks | |
Combined data scaling value | Bresee et al. (2013); Molinari et al. (2007) |