Fig. 3.

Plots as functions of ${\mathcal{R}}_0^1$ in Portage la Prairie and the reduction of movement between Winnipeg and Portage la Prairie. a General ${\mathcal{R}}_0$; the green and red curves show the locations of ${\mathcal{R}}_0=1$ and ${\mathcal{R}}_0=1.5$, respectively. b Attack rate in Winnipeg; the green and red curves show the locations of ${\mathcal{R}}_0=1$ and a 10 % attack rate, respectively