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. 2020 Jan 11;35(3):591–606. doi: 10.1007/s10980-019-00964-y

Table 1.

The climate scenarios simulated, as characterized by mean annual temperature (Tmean) and precipitation sum (Prec) for the landscape over the 190 year simulation period

Climate scenario Tmean (°C) σT (°C) Prec (mm) σPrec (mm) Number of storm events
Historic (1980–2010) 8.6 7.9–9.6 794 639–943 20
Moderate (EC-EARTH and KNMI-RACMO22E RCP4.5) 10.4 9.6–11.4 835 674–986 20
Warm (EC-EARTH and KNMI-RACMO22E RCP8.5) 11.9 11.1–12.8 812 660–955 12
Warm and wet (IPSL-CM5A-MR and IPSL-INERIS-WRF331F RCP8.5) 11.7 10.9–12.6 933 761–1112 26
Hot and dry (HadGEM2-ES and CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17 RCP8.5) 12.8 12.0–13.8 645 528–771 11

Within-landscape variation of temperature (σT) and precipitation (σPrec) are indicated as the min-max range on the landscape. The total number of storm events was derived from climate model data (with GCM-RCM combinations and representative concentration pathways in parenthesis) using a maximum gust wind speed cutoff of 33.3 m s−1