Table 1. Estimates of the time to emergence (Δ; in years) and initial reproductive number ($R_{\text{eff}}^i$) for each model (MAP point estimate and 95% credible interval).

Model	Δ		$R_{\text{eff}}^i$
	MAP	95% CI	MAP	95% CI
Nonseasonal SEIR	15.59	[14.92, 15.95]	0.79	[0.77, 0.80]
Seasonal SEIR	14.20	[13.78, 15.47]	0.78	[0.76, 0.79]
Age-structured SEIR	12.28	[11.83, 12.67]	0.75	[0.73, 0.76]
FRED	9.61	[8.68, 10.30]	0.89	[0.88, 0.90]
Mplex	13.63	[12.67, 14.44]	0.81	[0.79, 0.82]