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. 2019 Jul 24;32(2):586–595. doi: 10.1007/s12028-019-00792-7

Table 5.

Comparison of the predictive scores’ association with short-term outcome

No. AUC Grade Sens. (%) Spec. (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) pCut-off
Death
 Aronin Scale (%) 101 0.53 Failed 33 83 11 95 0.31
 Herson–Todd Scale (%) 88 0.79 Fair 25 92 13 96 0.26
 MeningiSSS (%) 77 0.70 Fair 75 71 13 98 0.05
 Niklasson Scale (%) 88 0.72 Fair 0 94 0 94 0.57
 Simple Luanda Scale (%)b 99 0.63 Poor 40 90 18 97 0.04
Any adverse short-term outcomea
 Aronin Scale (%) 99 0.56 Failed 27 84 33 80 0.21
 Herson–Todd Scale (%) 88 0.53 Failed 18 93 38 83 0.17
 MeningiSSS (%) 77 0.63 Poor 44 73 33 81 0.17
 Niklasson Scale (%) 88 0.65 Poor 5 94 20 78 0.93
 Simple Luanda Scale (%)c 98 0.64 Poor 38 81 35 83 0.07

This table shows the Meningitis Swedish Survival Score’s (MeningiSSS) association with short-term outcome compared with existing predictive scores. First, the number of patients included for each predictive score (No.) is shown, followed by the area under the curve (AUC) obtained from the receiver operating curve characteristics analysis together with the performance category grading (Grade) based on this result [23]. Lastly, each predictive score’s sensitivity (Sens.), specificity (Spec.), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) when tested at their cut-off levels using a Chi-square test are shown, including the p value of this analysis (pCut-Off)

aThis category comprises of patients with neurological disabilities at discharge defined as Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale (PCPC) category two to five and patient that died (PCPC category six) [22]

bIn this analysis, the Simple Luanda Scale was tested using the cut-off level stated for predicting death

cIn this analysis, the Simple Luanda Scale was tested using the cut-off level stated for predicting adverse outcomes