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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Mar 21.
Published in final edited form as: Sex Health. 2019 Nov;16(6):527–538. doi: 10.1071/SH18172

Table 2.

Studies using surveillance-based methods for estimating the number of men who have sex with men

Author, year Country/State/City Calculation Source of data, years Percent of MSM Number of MSM Sampling method Characterization of study population
Archibald et al., 2001 (11) Canada/Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver Number of MSMa tested for HIVb in 1996 from provincial serodiagnostic databases/proportion of MSM that reported being tested for HIV during a 1 year period from surveys and studies Provincial serodiagnostic databases and epi studies Not reported Toronto=39,100, Vancouver=15,900 All individuals who come forward for HIV testing Sex with other men, self-identification as gay, or sexual relations with other men
Lieb et al., 2004 (12) United States/Florida/Miami MSAc HIV prevalence among MSM in Miami (extrapolated from national estimate)/estimated HIV seroprevalence rates among MSM from Urban Men’s Health Study Florida Department of Health 9.5% 76,500 Persons diagnosed and reported to the Florida Department of Health HIV/AIDS Reporting System Male resident aged 18 years or older who had any male–male sex contact after 1977
Lieb et al., 2007 (13) United States/Florida/Miami-Dade County MSA HIV prevalence in Miami MSA/HIV seropositivity rates from NHBSd Florida Department of Health, NHBS 7.5% 63,020 in Miami MSA for 2003 to 2005 HIV-infected MSM living and residing in the Miami MSA All men aged ≥18 years who had male-male sex contact since 1978
Livak et al., 2013 (14) United States/Illinois/Chicago Average HIV Seroprevalence Rate for YBMSMe (adjusted for HIV positive but unaware)/Population-Based Seroprevalence Rate among YBMSM (averaged from NHBS and SRNf); Chicago Department of Public Health, 2010 US Census, NHBS, and SRN. 11.7% 6,340 YBMSM living with HIV infection in Chicago Men who have had male–male sexual contact
Marcus et al., 2013 (15) Europe Npop = HIVpop*Nsvy*SSD/HIVsvy HIVpop, the number of HIV cases diagnosed among MSM reported to the countries surveillance system in 2009; Nsvy, the sample size in a national survey; HIVsvy, the number of those survey participants diagnosed with HIV in 2009; Ntot, the number of men in the country; M, the proportion who have sex with men SSD=HIVsvy*M*Ntot/Nsvy*HIVpop EMISg, National surveillance data from ECDCh, Eurostat, and from national statistics Relative MSM population sizes were between 0.03% and 5.6% of the adult male population aged 15–64 Not reported National surveillance data on newly diagnosed HIV infections among MSM Having had at least one sexual contact with a man within the previous 12–24 months
Raymond et al., 2013 (16) United States/California/San Francisco (HIV/AIDSi Cases * undiagnosed infection)/HIV prevalence Case surveillance data, HIV prevalence estimates, United States Census data, and undiagnosed HIV infection estimate Not reported 59,809 MSM Total number of known MSM and MSM-IDUj HIV/AIDS cases in registry Not listed
Raymond et al., 2018 (34) United States/California/San Francisco HIV cases in registry * % undiagnosed HIV infection) / % HIV prevalence HIV prevalence from NHBS survey in 2017 and proportion of MSM previously diagnosed with HIV from case registry in 2016 Not reported 63,242 MSM HIV case registry for the city of San Francisco Not listed

Abbreviations:

a

MSM-Men who have sex with men

b

HIV-Human immunodeficiency virus

c

MSA-Metropolitan statistical area

d

NHBS-National HIV Behavioral Surveillance

e

YBMSM-Young black men who have sex with men

f

SRN-Social Risk and Network Assessment

g

EMIS-European MSM Internet Survey

h

ECDC-European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

i

AIDS-Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome

j

IDU-Injection drug user