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. 2020 Mar 24;20:249. doi: 10.1186/s12913-020-5019-8

Table 1.

Estimations used to model the burden of HCV in Turkey

a. Base 2017 scenario
2015 2016 2017 & 2018 2018 2019 ≥2020
Treated 4200 5600 10,200 9500 8800 5600
Newly diagnosed 5500 5500 5500 5500 5500 5500
Fibrosis stage ≥F0 ≥F3 ≥F1 ≥F1 ≥F1 ≥F1
Treated age 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79
SVR 49% 97% 99% 99% 99% 99%
b. Increased treatment scenario
2015 2016 2017 & 2018 2019 2020–2024 ≥2025
Treated 4200 5600 10,200 11,000 11,000 11,000
Newly diagnosed 5500 5500 5500 5500 5500 5500
Fibrosis stage ≥F0 ≥F3 ≥F1 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0
Treated age 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79
SVR 49% 97% 99% 99% 99% 99%
c. WHO targets scenario
2015 2016 2017 & 2018 2019 2021–2024 ≥2025
Treated 4200 5600 10,200 15,000 16,000 16,000
Newly diagnosed 5500 5500 5500 6000 18,000 18,000
Fibrosis stage ≥F0 ≥F3 ≥F1 ≥F1 ≥F0 ≥F0
Treated age 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79 15–79
SVR 49% 97% 99% 99% 99% 99%