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. 2018 May 21;454:1–10. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.05.017

Table 1.

Model input parameters. We denote JEV transmitted from vectors to pigs as “v → p”, and from pigs to humans as “p → h” respectively. Please see S.2.1 for more information of the initial proportions.

Parameters Notations Values Ranges Remarks/Units Sources
Force of infection λvp - time-dependent v → p, per year Eq. (3)
Latent period in pigs σp1 1.5 1–2 days Kodama et al. (1968); Ricklin et al. (2016a)
Infection period in pigs γp1 3 2–4 days Centers for Disease Control (2017); Kodama et al. (1968); Ricklin, Garcia-Nicolas, Brechbuhl, Python, Zumkehr, Nougairede, Charrel, Posthaus, Oevermann, Summerfield, 2016, Ricklin, Garcia-Nicolas, Brechbuhl, Python, Zumkehr, Posthaus, Oevermann, Summerfield, 2016; Williams et al. (2001)
Convalescent period in pigs δp1 2.5 1–4 days Ricklin et al. (2016a)
Proportion of infected among imported pigs η 1.0% 0.43%–1.45% pigs, Nil Eq. (8)
Effective contact rate βp estimate 0.0–0.4 pigs, per days Eq. (10)
Lifespan of pigs νp1 234.0 234.0 days Eq. (7)
Population size of pigs Np - time-dependent see Fig. 4 Hong Kong (2017); Legislative Council of Hong Kong, Legislative Council of Hong Kong; Scientific Committee on Vector-borne Diseases (2017); The Government of Hong Kong, Agriculture, Fisheries and Conservation Department (AFCD), The Government of Hong Kong, Agriculture, Fisheries and Conservation Department (AFCD)
Spill-over ratio ρ - time-dependent p → h, Nil Eq. (5)
Initial proportion of susceptible Sp0 estimate 45–75% Nil Center for Health Protection (2017); Konno (1969); Riley et al. (2007)
Initial proportion of exposed Ep0 0.1% Nil assumed
Initial proportion of infectious Ip0 0.1% Nil assumed
Initial proportion of convalescent Cp0 0.1% Nil assumed
Initial proportion of recovered Rp0 estimate 25–55% Nil Center for Health Protection (2017); Konno (1969); Riley et al. (2007)