Fig. 5.

Uncertainty analysis of weeks since the last case and incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) to assess the end of Ebola epidemic.

The proportion of sexual transmissions among all secondary transmissions was randomly sampled from a triangular distribution with median 0.0012 with the range from 0 to 1. A. Weeks to declare the end of Ebola epidemic since the last case testing negative twice or buried as a function of the threshold risk of observing at least 1 additional case at 5% or 1%. B. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio calculated as US dollars per life-year as a function of the threshold risk of observing at least 1 additional case at 5% or 1%. In both panels, red diamond points the mean. Box plot shows interquartile and median values, while whiskers extend to plus/minus 1.5 times interquartile range.