Table 1.
Parameter values for computing the probability of the end of an Ebola virus disease epidemic.
| Category | Parameter | Description | Values | Examined range | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sexual transmission | 100 × p | Proportion of sexual transmissions among all secondary transmissions (%) | 0.12 | 0.001–10 | Abbate et al., 2016 |
| m | Mean duration of testing positive for viral RNA (months) | 7 | 3–9 | Deen et al., 2017 | |
| Policy | 100 × u | Relative reduction in unprotected sexual contact (%) | 0 | 0–80 | Fischer and Wohl, 2016 |
| 100 × q | Proportion of diagnosed cases (%) | 50 | 10–90 | Houlihan et al., 2017 | |
| Epidemiological factor | Rf | Reproduction number during the late stage of the epidemic | G: 1.08 | 0.50–1.50 | Estimated |
| L: 0.74 | |||||
| S: 1.28 | |||||
| n | n-th declaration of the end of Ebola virus transmission | 1 | G:1,2 | WHO, 2016a | |
| L:1,2,3,4 | |||||
| S:1,2 |
G, L and S represent Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, respectively.