R0
|
1.8 (Balcan et al., 2009, Lessler et al., 2009, Merler et al., 2011) |
Basic reproductive number: the average new cases (i.e., infections) arise from a single primary case (Fraser et al., 2009) |
β |
1.56 × 10−3 person−1 · h−1
|
Transfer rate: average infection probability of a susceptible individual contact with an infected individual |
γ |
0.014 h−1
|
Recovery rate: the transition rate from susceptible to recovered |
δ |
2.34% (CNTA (China National Tourism Administration) 2017, National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC) 2018) |
Travel rate: the ratio of tourists in a city to citizens of the city |
N |
400 people/day (Hyman and LaForce, 2003) |
Interpersonal contact number per day: the number of people that a person contacts on average per day |
Nr |
N/50 |
Number of confined spaces in a city |
Pgo, Δt
|
– |
The probability of a resident deciding to travel to other cities after time Δt
|
Pback, Δt
|
1.57 × 10−2 h−1
|
The probability of a tourist deciding to return to their home city after travel time Δt
|