Table 4.
Five-year and ten-year BCSS estimates by age, HR status, HER2 status, and stage for each grade based on Fine–Gray model 7 with average baseline survival (n = 14,781).
| Grade | Age | HR | HER2 | 5-year BCSS | 10-year BCSS | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Stage | ||||||||||||
| I | IIA | IIB | IIIAB | IIIC | I | IIA | IIB | IIIAB | IIIC | ||||
| 1 | <40 | Neg | Neg | 96.3 | 92.0 | 87.9 | 85.5 | 78.7 | 91.7 | 82.4 | 74.1 | 69.6 | 57.4 |
| Neg | Pos | 97.9 | 95.4 | 92.9 | 91.5 | 87.3 | 95.2 | 89.6 | 84.3 | 81.4 | 73.0 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 98.0 | 95.6 | 93.3 | 92.0 | 88.0 | 95.5 | 90.2 | 85.2 | 82.4 | 74.4 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 98.7 | 97.0 | 95.4 | 94.5 | 91.7 | 96.9 | 93.2 | 89.7 | 87.7 | 81.8 | ||
| 40–69 | Neg | Neg | 97.6 | 94.8 | 92.1 | 90.6 | 85.9 | 94.6 | 88.4 | 82.7 | 79.4 | 70.3 | |
| Neg | Pos | 98.7 | 97.0 | 95.4 | 94.5 | 91.7 | 96.9 | 93.3 | 89.8 | 87.7 | 81.9 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 98.7 | 97.2 | 95.7 | 94.8 | 92.2 | 97.1 | 93.7 | 90.4 | 88.4 | 82.9 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 99.1 | 98.1 | 97.1 | 96.5 | 94.7 | 98.0 | 95.7 | 93.4 | 92.0 | 88.1 | ||
| ≥70 | Neg | Neg | 98.0 | 95.7 | 93.4 | 92.1 | 88.2 | 95.5 | 90.3 | 85.4 | 82.6 | 74.7 | |
| Neg | Pos | 98.9 | 97.5 | 96.2 | 95.4 | 93.1 | 97.4 | 94.4 | 91.4 | 89.7 | 84.7 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 98.9 | 97.7 | 96.4 | 95.7 | 93.5 | 97.6 | 94.7 | 91.9 | 90.3 | 85.6 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 99.3 | 98.4 | 97.6 | 97.1 | 95.5 | 98.4 | 96.4 | 94.5 | 93.3 | 90.0 | ||
| 2 | <40 | Neg | Neg | 93.6 | 86.3 | 79.7 | 75.9 | 65.6 | 85.8 | 71.1 | 59.0 | 52.8 | 37.7 |
| Neg | Pos | 96.3 | 92.0 | 87.9 | 85.5 | 78.7 | 91.7 | 82.4 | 74.1 | 69.6 | 57.4 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 96.5 | 92.5 | 88.6 | 86.3 | 79.9 | 92.1 | 83.4 | 75.5 | 71.1 | 59.4 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 97.6 | 94.8 | 92.1 | 90.5 | 85.9 | 94.6 | 88.4 | 82.6 | 79.4 | 70.3 | ||
| 40–69 | Neg | Neg | 95.9 | 91.1 | 86.5 | 84.0 | 76.5 | 90.7 | 80.5 | 71.5 | 66.7 | 53.8 | |
| Neg | Pos | 97.6 | 94.8 | 92.1 | 90.5 | 85.9 | 94.6 | 88.4 | 82.7 | 79.4 | 70.3 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 97.8 | 95.1 | 92.6 | 91.1 | 86.7 | 94.9 | 89.1 | 83.6 | 80.5 | 71.8 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 98.5 | 96.7 | 94.9 | 93.9 | 90.8 | 96.5 | 92.5 | 88.6 | 86.4 | 79.9 | ||
| ≥70 | Neg | Neg | 96.6 | 92.5 | 88.7 | 86.5 | 80.1 | 92.2 | 83.6 | 75.7 | 71.4 | 59.8 | |
| Neg | Pos | 98.0 | 95.7 | 93.4 | 92.1 | 88.1 | 95.5 | 90.3 | 85.4 | 82.6 | 74.6 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 98.2 | 95.9 | 93.8 | 92.5 | 88.8 | 95.8 | 90.9 | 86.2 | 83.6 | 76.0 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 98.7 | 97.2 | 95.8 | 94.9 | 92.3 | 97.1 | 93.7 | 90.4 | 88.5 | 83.0 | ||
| 3 | <40 | Neg | Neg | 88.3 | 75.8 | 65.1 | 59.5 | 45.2 | 74.9 | 52.6 | 37.0 | 30.1 | 15.9 |
| Neg | Pos | 93.2 | 85.4 | 78.4 | 74.5 | 63.7 | 84.9 | 69.4 | 56.8 | 50.5 | 35.1 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 93.6 | 86.3 | 79.6 | 75.8 | 65.5 | 85.7 | 71.0 | 58.9 | 52.6 | 37.5 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 95.6 | 90.5 | 85.7 | 82.9 | 75.1 | 90.1 | 79.3 | 69.8 | 64.8 | 51.4 | ||
| 40–69 | Neg | Neg | 92.4 | 83.9 | 76.2 | 71.9 | 60.4 | 83.3 | 66.5 | 53.2 | 46.6 | 31.1 | |
| Neg | Pos | 95.6 | 90.5 | 85.7 | 82.9 | 75.1 | 90.1 | 79.3 | 69.9 | 64.8 | 51.5 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 95.9 | 91.0 | 86.5 | 83.9 | 76.4 | 90.7 | 80.4 | 71.4 | 66.5 | 53.6 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 97.2 | 93.8 | 90.6 | 88.8 | 83.3 | 93.6 | 86.3 | 79.6 | 75.9 | 65.6 | ||
| ≥70 | Neg | Neg | 93.6 | 86.4 | 79.8 | 76.1 | 65.8 | 85.9 | 71.3 | 59.2 | 53.1 | 37.9 | |
| Neg | Pos | 96.3 | 92.0 | 87.9 | 85.6 | 78.8 | 91.7 | 82.5 | 74.2 | 69.7 | 57.6 | ||
| Pos | Neg | 96.6 | 92.5 | 88.6 | 86.4 | 80.0 | 92.2 | 83.5 | 75.6 | 71.3 | 59.6 | ||
| Pos | Pos | 97.7 | 94.9 | 92.2 | 90.6 | 86.0 | 94.6 | 88.5 | 82.8 | 79.5 | 70.4 | ||