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. 2020 Mar 26;20:71. doi: 10.1186/s12874-020-00946-8

Table 2.

Bias and CIL of the cure point estimate in simulated data

ARS model FMC model NRS model Weibull mixture
ε tε Bias CIL¯(t^ε) Bias CIL¯(t^ε) Bias CIL¯(t^ε) Bias CIL¯(t^ε)
Conditional probability of cure
Scenario 1
0.05 3.39 0.67 0.65 0.18 0.87 0.11 0.53
0.10 2.90 0.42 0.65 0.13 0.61 0.09 0.45
0.15 2.58 0.27 0.59 0.10 0.49 0.08 0.40
Scenario 2
0.05 6.04 1.13 0.61 1.39 4.94 0.42 2.08
0.10 4.59 0.59 0.70 0.85 3.09 0.31 1.55
0.15 3.73 0.37 0.71 0.59 2.18 0.25 1.26
Scenario 3
0.05 2.17 0.15 0.71 0.44 0.65 0.10 0.48
0.10 1.63 0.09 0.42 0.13 0.39 0.07 0.36
0.15 1.27 0.07 0.32 0.08 0.31 0.06 0.29
Conditional probability of cancer-related death
Scenario 1
0.05 3.39 0.66 0.66 0.18 0.86 0.52 1.76 0.11 0.53
0.10 2.89 0.41 0.65 0.13 0.61 0.30 1.25 0.09 0.44
0.15 2.57 0.27 0.59 0.10 0.48 0.23 0.97 0.08 0.39
Scenario 2
0.05 5.95 1.06 0.62 1.23 4.59 18.95 11.43 0.40 1.99
0.10 4.52 0.54 0.70 0.77 2.86 11.94 12.48 0.30 1.49
0.15 3.67 0.34 0.71 0.54 2.00 7.62 11.66 0.24 1.20
Scenario 3
0.05 2.17 0.14 0.70 0.19 0.64 0.33 1.09 0.10 0.48
0.10 1.62 0.09 0.41 0.10 0.38 0.20 0.67 0.07 0.35
0.15 1.26 0.07 0.31 0.07 0.30 0.15 0.49 0.06 0.29
Loss of lifetime
Scenario 1
1.00 3.34 0.60 0.64 0.16 0.80 0.34 1.47 0.10 0.50
2.00 2.86 0.36 0.61 0.12 0.57 0.21 1.01 0.09 0.42
3.00 2.55 0.23 0.55 0.09 0.45 0.16 0.77 0.08 0.37
Scenario 2
1.00 5.52 0.79 0.61 0.85 3.43 8.81 7.48 0.33 1.63
2.00 4.20 0.38 0.67 0.52 2.13 4.67 6.72 0.25 1.22
3.00 3.42 0.24 0.66 0.36 1.48 2.60 5.17 0.20 0.99
Scenario 3
1.00 2.15 0.13 0.64 0.16 0.59 0.22 0.92 0.09 0.46
2.00 1.62 0.08 0.38 0.08 0.36 0.13 0.55 0.07 0.34
3.00 1.27 0.06 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.10 0.40 0.06 0.28

The cure point estimates were based on the probabiltiy of cure, the probability of cancer-related death, and the loss of lifetime function. The NRS model was not evaluated for the latter measure since this is not a cure model. ARS: relative survival model by Andersson et al. [28], FMC: flexible mixture cure model by Jakobsen et al. [17], NRS: relative survival model by Nelson et al. [27], CIL: confidence interval length