Table 2. Characteristics of selected previous food tax and subsidy modelling papers.
Price elasticity matrix | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Author | Interventions and setting | Number of food groups | Derivation of PE matrix | Cross-PE used? | Constraint or rescaling after PE application? | Health gain findings |
Blakely et al (current study) | NZ. SAFA and sugar tax, F&V subsidy. | 340 (disaggregated from 23) | Bayesian LAIDs model, 12 hierarchical demand systems. Marshallian conditional PEs. | Yes | Yes; using TFEe | Substantial HALY gains: SAFA tax ≈ sugar tax > F&V subsidy. |
Briggs et al (2013) [6] | UK. 20% sugar sweetened drink tax. | 12 drinks categories and 5 food categories. | Bayesian AIDs model, 5 hierarchical demand systems. Unconditional within each demand system; conditional across demand systems. | Yes | No | 20% SSB tax would result in 1.3% reduction in obesity rates. |
Cobiac et al (2017) [9] | Australia. Separate and combined policies such that all policies had <1% impact on total food expenditure. Salt, sugar, saturated fat and SSB taxes: F&V subsidy. | 24 | NZ PE matrix as used in Ni Mhurchu et al (2015) [4]. UK PE matrix for sensitivity analysis. | Yes, with suppression of statistically non-significant cross-PE. | No | Combined taxes and F&V subsidy > sugar tax > salt tax ≈ SAFA tax. F&V subsidy alone led to health loss. Sensitive to PE matrix used. |
Ni Mhurchu et al (2015) [4] | NZ. Sodium and sugar tax. F&V subsidy. Tax on foods contributing to greenhouse gases. | 24 | Household economic survey data, with prices from food price index | Yes, with theoretical suppression of non-important cross-PE. | No | Sodium tax > sugar tax > F&V subsidy in terms of deaths prevented or postponed. |
AIDS = almost ideal demand system. LAIDS = linear AIDS. HALY = health adjusted life year.
Unconditional means that the a change in expenditure was allowed in the assumptions for calculating PE.