TABLE 2.
Model selection for divergence time estimation and ancestral area reconstruction in BEAST 1.10.4 (Suchard et al., 2018): marginal likelihood estimates (MLEs) for six tree and clock model comparisons.
| Tree model | Clock model | Log marginal likelihood |
|
| Path sampling | Stepping-stone sampling | ||
| Yule process | Strict | −127,161.38 | −127,159.31 |
| Random local* | N/A | N/A | |
| Uncorrelated relaxed lognormal | −126,125.37 | −126,125.16 | |
| Birth-death incomplete sampling | Strict | −127,149.93 | −127,149.49 |
| Random local* | N/A | N/A | |
| Uncorrelated relaxed lognormal | −126,130.93 | −126,130.65 | |
* Random local clock models exhibited inadequate chain mixing and did not converge after 100M iterations. Italics indicate best-supported model and associated log MLEs.