Table 2.
Comparison of predicted and actual values from 2013 to 2017
| Category | Years | Predictive value | Real value | Absolute error | Relative error (%) | Mean relative error (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
THE |
2013 |
3212.36 |
3166.90 |
45.46 |
1.44 |
1.36 |
| 2014 |
3548.25 |
3531.24 |
17.01 |
0.48 |
||
| 2015 |
4005.31 |
4097.46 |
92.16 |
2.25 |
||
| 2016 |
4570.95 |
4634.49 |
63.54 |
1.37 |
||
| 2017 |
5194.56 |
5259.83 |
65.27 |
1.24 |
||
|
GHE |
2013 |
983.43 |
954.58 |
28.85 |
3.02 |
2.72 |
| 2014 |
1064.27 |
1057.92 |
6.35 |
0.60 |
||
| 2015 |
1170.56 |
1247.53 |
76.97 |
6.17 |
||
| 2016 |
1403.60 |
1391.03 |
12.57 |
0.90 |
||
| 2017 |
1564.47 |
1520.59 |
43.88 |
2.89 |
||
|
SHE |
2013 |
1175.87 |
1139.38 |
36.49 |
3.20 |
2.33 |
| 2014 |
1313.36 |
1343.78 |
30.42 |
2.26 |
||
| 2015 |
1573.01 |
1650.67 |
77.67 |
4.71 |
||
| 2016 |
1925.85 |
1909.67 |
16.18 |
0.85 |
||
| 2017 |
2211.28 |
2225.88 |
14.60 |
0.66 |
||
| OOP | 2013 |
1058.06 |
1072.93 |
14.87 |
1.39 |
2.01 |
| 2014 |
1170.71 |
1129.54 |
41.17 |
3.65 |
||
| 2015 |
1216.32 |
1199.27 |
17.05 |
1.42 |
||
| 2016 |
1313.32 |
1333.79 |
20.47 |
1.53 |
||
| 2017 | 1481.81 | 1513.36 | 31.55 | 2.08 |
GHE – government health expenditure, THE – total health expenditure, OOP – out-of-pocket health expenditure; SHE – social health expenditure