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. 2016 Sep 6;64:44–54. doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2016.09.004

Table 2.

Summary of gaps in existing inference techniques and suggestions for future research.

Presently available data and methods Suggestions for future research
Genomic
  • Pathogen genomic sequences are largely consensus in nature

  • Use deep-sequencing for within-host identification of minor variants

Spatial
  • Individual to individual

  • Farm to farm

  • Country to country

  • Use community-level resolution such as household to household, zipcode to zipcode, or neighborhood-based geographical locations, which are reasonable for targeting of public-health interventions

Methods
  • Fitted to disease

  • Small sample size

  • Biased towards the most severe cases

  • Perform power analysis to identify sample size for inference

  • Reduce selection bias in data by generating it from the community which captures a wide range of infections

  • Incorporate supplementary information such as social networking, point-of-care data, and electronic medical record (EMR) data. Social networking data can capture social and family contact structures which can augment information about how transmission spreads. Point-of-care data can be utilized where access to clinics is not available or feasible. EMR data includes information such as family, social, and medication history

Data Generation
  • Clinical

  • Community-generated data from the wide range of cases in the community who do not necessarily report to a clinic or are symptomatic

  • Crowdsourced data which includes multitudes of factors such as social network structures and mobility data

  • Participatory self-reported data

Parameters
  • Transmission tree

  • Rate of infectiousness

  • Rate of recovery

  • Proportion of infected hosts sampled

  • Genetic outliers

  • Superspreaders

  • Community parameters capturing location or neighborhood-based infectiousness and transmissibility essential for proactive intervention such as quarantine and vaccination

  • Incorporate population stochastics such as mobility and transportation

  • Foreign exports