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letter . 2020 Mar 12:taaa033. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa033
Serial interval in determining the estimation of reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) during the early outbreak
Shi Zhao
1,2,✉, Peihua Cao
3, Daozhou Gao
4, Zian Zhuang
5, Yongli Cai
6, Jinjun Ran
7, Marc K C Chong
1,2, Kai Wang
8, Yijun Lou
5, Weiming Wang
6, Lin Yang
9, Daihai He
5, Maggie H Wang
1,2
Shi Zhao, MPhil
1
JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
2
Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
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Peihua Cao, PhD
3
Clinical Research Centre, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
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Daozhou Gao, PhD
4
Department of Mathematics, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China
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Zian Zhuang, Bsc
5
Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
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Yongli Cai, PhD
6
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, China
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Jinjun Ran, MPhil
7
School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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Marc K C Chong, PhD
1
JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
2
Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
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Kai Wang, PhD
8
Department of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, China
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Yijun Lou, PhD
5
Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
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Weiming Wang, PhD
6
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, China
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Lin Yang, PhD
9
School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
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Daihai He, PhD
5
Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
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Maggie H Wang, PhD
1
JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
2
Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
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1
JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
2
Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
3
Clinical Research Centre, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
4
Department of Mathematics, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China
5
Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
6
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, China
7
School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
8
Department of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, China
9
School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
✉
To whom correspondence should be addressed. zhaoshi.cmsa@gmail.com (SZ)
Keywords: Novel coronavirus disease, COVID-19, Early outbreak, Aerial interval, Reproduction number, Statistical analysis
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PMCID: PMC7107560 PMID: 32163140