Table 2.
Total annual fuel burned by aviation and emissions of H2O, CO2, NOx, CO, HC, SOx and soot (when available) provided by recent studies. Forecasts for 2020 and 2025 are also provided. Global emission data for 2008 and forecasts for 2025 were calculated starting from fuel data of Chèze et al. (2011) and emission indices of Lee et al. (2010). Kim et al. (2007) provided fuel burn and NOx emission during LTO for the 2000–2005 period; LTO emissions of H2O, CO2 and SO2 were calculated starting from fuel data of Kim et al. (2007) and emission indices of Lee et al. (2010). Note that all emissions calculated in this review are in italics.
Year | Fleeta | Fuel |
H2O |
CO2 |
NOxb |
CO |
HC |
SOxc |
Soot |
Reference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tg | Mg | |||||||||
Global | ||||||||||
1999 | Scheduled air traffic which includes turboprops, passenger jets, and jet cargo aircraft | 128 | – | – | 1.7 | 0.685 | 0.189 | – | – | Sutkus et al. (2001) |
2000 | Scheduled and non-scheduled commercial aviation | 214d | – | 677 | 2.9 | – | – | – | – | Owen et al. (2010) |
2000 | Civil and military aircraft Civil aircraft Military (difference) |
169 152 44 |
– – – |
– – – |
2.15 1.95 0.2 |
– – – |
– – – |
– – – |
– – – |
Gauss et al. (2006) Gauss et al. (2006) Gauss et al. (2006) |
Commercial aviation | 181 | 224 | 572 | 2.51 | 0.541 | 0.076 | 0.145 | – | Kim et al. (2007) | |
2001 | Commercial aviation | 170 | 210 | 536 | 2.35 | 0.464 | 0.063 | 0.136 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2002 | Commercial aviation | 171 | 211 | 539 | 2.41 | 0.480 | 0.064 | 0.137 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
Civil aviation | 156 | 193 | 492 | 2.06 | 0.507 | 0.063 | – | 3.9 | Eyers et al. (2004) | |
Military aviation | 19.5 | 24.1 | 61 | 0.178 | 0.647 | 0.066 | – | – | Eyers et al. (2004) | |
Civil + Military aviation | 176 | 217 | 553 | 2.24 | 1.150 | 0.129 | – | >3.9 | Eyers et al. (2004) | |
2003 | Commercial aviation | 176 | 218 | 557 | 2.49 | 0.486 | 0.062 | 0.141 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2004 | Commercial aviation | 188 | 233 | 594 | 2.69 | 0.511 | 0.063 | 0.151 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
Commercial aviatione | 174 | 215 | 550 | 2.456 | 0.628 | 0.090f | 0.102g | 6.1 | Wilkerson et al. (2010) | |
2005 | Commercial aviation | 203 | 251 | 641 | 2.9 | 0.554 | 0.065 | 0.163 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2006 | Commercial aviation | 188 | 233 | 595 | 2.656 | 0.679 | 0.098f | 0.111h | 6.8 | Wilkerson et al. (2010) |
2008 | From ICAO commercial air carriers—traffic database | 229 | 282 | 725 | 3.21 | 0.688 | 0.092 | 0.183 | 5.7 | Fuel demand by Chèze et al. (2011) |
Forecasted trend | ||||||||||
2020 | Scheduled and non-scheduled commercial aviation | 336 | – | 1062 | 4 | – | – | – | – | Owen et al. (2010) |
2025 | – | 317 | 390 | 1001 | 4 | 0.951 | 0.127 | 0.253 | 7.9 | Fuel demand forecast by Chèze et al. (2011) |
Emission indices | ||||||||||
EI | Mean emission indices | – | 1230 | 3160 | 14 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.025 | Lee et al. (2010) |
LTO cycles | ||||||||||
2000 | Commercial aviation | 12.9 | 15.9 | 40.8 | 0.197 | – | – | 0.010 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2001 | Commercial aviation | 12.3 | 15.1 | 38.9 | 0.191 | – | – | 0.010 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2002 | Commercial aviation | 12.2 | 15.0 | 38.6 | 0.194 | – | – | 0.010 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2003 | Commercial aviation | 12.4 | 15.3 | 39.2 | 0.199 | – | – | 0.010 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2004 | Commercial aviation | 12.9 | 15.9 | 40.8 | 0.21 | – | – | 0.010 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
2005 | Commercial aviation | 13.9 | 17.1 | 43.9 | 0.227 | – | – | 0.011 | – | Kim et al. (2007) |
Type of fleet, as specified in different estimates.
NOx is expressed as NO2 in Sutkus et al., 2001, Gauss et al., 2006 and Wilkerson et al. (2010).
SOx expressed as SO2.
Normalized to the IEA total aviation fuel sales figure (see Owen et al., 2010).
Corrected global fuel burn results (see Wilkerson et al., 2010).
HC expressed as CH4.
Expressed as S–SOx, assuming that 96.3% of the SOx–S was partitioned to SO2–S and 3.7% to S(VI)–S (particle).
Expressed as S–SOx, assuming that 98% of the SOx-S was partitioned to SO2–S.