Table 5.
Probabilistic distribution patterns of the model parameters
| Parameter | Distribution | Range | Distr. values* | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infectivity | Gamma | (0·001–0·2) | 1·1/0/0·025 | [23] |
| Incubation period | Gamma | (1–30) | 1·4/1/3·85 | [24] |
| Disease duration | Gamma | (1–70) | 5·6/0/4·55 | [24] |
| Case fatality | Normal | (0·14–0·21) | 0·171/0·01 | [25] |
| Daily contacts | Normal | (1–40) | 16·8/8·5 | [29] |
| Threshold of cumulative attack rate | Normal | (5·0 × 10−5–1·1 × 10−4) | 7·8 × 10−5/1 × 10−5 |
*
The distribution values for normal distributions are mean and standard deviation, whereas for gamma distributions they are order/shift/stretch.