Table 4. Number of dengue cases after intervention estimated by Arma model.
Variables | Coefficient | 95% CI | p-value |
---|---|---|---|
Constant | 1.86 | 1.50, 2.22 | <0.0001 |
Intervention | -0.27 | -0.95, 0.41 | 0.436 |
ARMA parameters | |||
AR (1) | 1.68 | 1.25, 2.10 | <0.0001 |
AR (2) | -0.68 | -1.10, -0.261 | 0.002 |
MA (1) | -1.54 | -1.97, -1.11 | <0.0001 |
MA (2) | 0.54 | 0.19,0.89 | 0.002 |
MA (3) | 0.01 | -0.06,0.09 | 0.721 |
Sigma | 1.23 | 1.20,1.26 | <0.0001 |
AR: Auto Regressive, MA: Moving Average, CI: Confidence Interval.