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. 2020 Apr 1;15(4):e0230486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230486

Table 4. Number of dengue cases after intervention estimated by Arma model.

Variables Coefficient 95% CI p-value
Constant 1.86 1.50, 2.22 <0.0001
Intervention -0.27 -0.95, 0.41 0.436
ARMA parameters
AR (1) 1.68 1.25, 2.10 <0.0001
AR (2) -0.68 -1.10, -0.261 0.002
MA (1) -1.54 -1.97, -1.11 <0.0001
MA (2) 0.54 0.19,0.89 0.002
MA (3) 0.01 -0.06,0.09 0.721
Sigma 1.23 1.20,1.26 <0.0001

AR: Auto Regressive, MA: Moving Average, CI: Confidence Interval.