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. 2019 May 14;36(2):235–246. doi: 10.1007/s10680-019-09527-y

Table 2.

Results (average marginal effects) of separate probit models with robust standard errors for native/immigrant mothers of at least one child/two children reporting to have a second/third child (dependent variables)

German natives Turkish immigrants Polish immigrants
All West East First generation Second generation First generation Ethnic Germans
(a) Mothers with ≥ 1 children
 Firstborn child is a boya 0.010*** 0.010*** 0.011** − 0.011 − 0.026 0.021 0.015
(0.002) (0.002) (0.004) (0.006) (0.014) (0.014) (0.020)
 N 275,643 211,570 64,073 14,643 4098 5041 2318
(b) Mothers with ≥ 2 children
 Firstborn children are both girlsb 0.019*** 0.017*** 0.027*** 0.159*** 0.157*** 0.042* 0.022
(0.003) (0.003) (0.006) (0.011) (0.022) (0.020) (0.028)
 Firstborn children are both boysb 0.029*** 0.028*** 0.032*** 0.020 0.044* 0.040* 0.061*
(0.003) (0.003) (0.005) (0.011) (0.021) (0.019) (0.028)
 N 147,326 119,759 27,567 11,530 2449 2482 1202

Own calculations are based on micro-census scientific use files 2005–2013. Significance *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001

Mothers’ age and education as well as year of micro-census are controlled. Models for first-generation immigrants and ethnic Germans also account for time since immigration to Germany

aReference category: firstborn child is a girl

bReference category: mixed-sex composition of firstborn children