Table B.1.
Results of the initial ARMAX model for SARS
| Variable | Coefficient (P-value) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Hong Kong | Singapore | Taiwan | |
| Constant | 63128.46 (0.182) | 23357.01 (0.581) | 5881.40 (0.746) | 1071.27 (0.898) |
| Sit | −354.39** (0.037) | −220.32* (0.097) | −897.30 (0.113) | −180.45** (0.005) |
| Si(t−1) | −4.36 (0.982) | −565.87** (0.000) | −1883.54** (0.002) | −23.83 (0.634) |
| Si(t−2) | 275.45* (0.081) | 427.99** (0.002) | 1464.30** (0.015) | 102.52** (0.043) |
| Si(t−3) | 236.76* (0.066) | 749.66 (0.155) | 73.21 (0.219) | |
| Δyi(t−1) | 1.28** (0.000) | 0.330 (0.219) | 0.12 (0.709) | 0.28 (0.181) |
| Δyi(t−2) | −0.59** (0.000) | |||
| MA(1) | −1.39** (0.000) | −0.01 (0.997) | 0.01 (0.983) | 0.07 (0.702) |
| MA(2) | 0.59** (0.004) | −0.59** (0.000) | −0.51** (0.002) | −0.28* (0.092) |
| MA(3) | −0.375** (0.066) | −0.47** (0.024) | −0.76** (0.000) | |
| 0.203 | 0.613 | 0.450 | 0.625 | |
*
Means significantly within the 10% significance level.
**
Means significantly under the 5% significance level.