Table 3.
Model discrimination in derivation and validation cohorts
| Model | Derivation cohort | Validation cohort | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUROC (95% CI) | Brier score | AUROC (95% CI) | Brier score | ||
| 4C Mortality Score | 0.786 (0.781 to 0.790) | 0.170 | 0.767 (0.760 to 0.773) | 0.171 | |
| Machine learning comparison* | 0.796 (0.786 to 0.807) | 0.191 | 0.779 (0.772 to 0.785) | 0.197 | |
AUROC=area under receiver operator curve; CI=confidence interval.
Gradient boosting decision tree (XGBoost).