Table 2.
Estimated values of P1_w(t), P2_w(t), R(t) and their standard errors S1, S2 and S
| Date | Day | Ns | r | P2_w(t) | S2 | P1_w(t) | S1 | R(t) | S | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 21 | 1 | 2158 | 0.0659 | ||||||||
| April 22 | 2 | 2305 | 0.0495 | ||||||||
| April 23 | 3 | 2422 | 0.0713 | ||||||||
| April 24 | 4 | 2601 | 0.0568 | ||||||||
| April 26 | 6 | 2753 | 0.0568 | ||||||||
| April 27 | 7 | 2914 | 0.0638 | 6841 | 0.0378 | 0.0023 | 4266 | 0.2144 | 0.0063 | 1.4937 | 0.0159 |
| April 28 | 8 | 3106 | 0.0615 | 8502 | 0.0169 | 0.0014 | 5152.5 | 0.2031 | 0.006 | 1.1503 | 0.0130 |
| April 29 | 9 | 3303 | 0.0464 | 9505 | 0.0230 | 0.0015 | 5197.5 | 0.2329 | 0.0059 | 1.3706 | 0.0137 |
| April 30 | 10 | 3460 | 0.0502 | 10506 | 0.0150 | 0.0012 | 5472 | 0.1786 | 0.0052 | 1.014 | 0.0118 |
| May 1 | 11 | 3638 | 0.0433 | 11565 | 0.0259 | 0.0015 | 5391 | 0.1835 | 0.0053 | 1.1875 | 0.0125 |
| May 2 | 12 | 3799 | 0.0443 | 12461 | 0.0178 | 0.0012 | 5481 | 0.1760 | 0.0051 | 1.0413 | 0.0118 |
| May 3 | 13 | 3971 | 0.0381 | 13490 | 0.0085 | 0.0008 | 5449.5 | 0.1708 | 0.0051 | 0.8867 | 0.0112 |
| May 4 | 14 | 4125 | 0.0369 | 14572 | 0.0062 | 0.0007 | 5283 | 0.1473 | 0.0049 | 0.7492 | 0.0106 |
| May 5 | 15 | 4280 | 0.0297 | 15552 | 0.0112 | 0.0008 | 4977 | 0.1818 | 0.0055 | 0.9749 | 0.0120 |
| May 6 | 16 | 4409 | 0.0337 | 16454 | 0.0078 | 0.0007 | 4950 | 0.1598 | 0.0052 | 0.8289 | 0.0113 |
| May 7 | 17 | 4560 | 0.0298 | 17339 | 0.0051 | 0.0005 | 4770 | 0.1529 | 0.0052 | 0.7589 | 0.0112 |
| May 8 | 18 | 4698 | 0.0225 | 18167 | 0.0017 | 0.0003 | 4527 | 0.1232 | 0.0049 | 0.5773 | 0.0104 |
| May 9 | 19 | 4805 | 0.0163 | 19055 | 0.0021 | 0.0003 | 4108.5 | 0.1139 | 0.0050 | 0.542 | 0.0106 |
| May 10 | 20 | 4884 | 0.0130 | 19709 | 0.0023 | 0.0003 | 3703.5 | 0.1009 | 0.0050 | 0.4854 | 0.0106 |
| May 11 | 21 | 4948 | 0.0131 | 20253 | −0.002 | – | 3298.5 | 0.1608 | 0.0064 | 0.6895 | – |
| May 12 | 22 | 5013 | 0.0145 | 20680 | 0.0000 | 3.4E−05 | 3046.5 | 0.0552 | 0.0041 | 0.2485 | 0.0088 |
Ns is the total cumulative SARS cases. r is the instantaneous increase rate. “–” S2 and S are not calculated due to the negative value of P2(t).