Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Apr 2.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2020 Jan 13;158(5):1465–1496.e17. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2020.01.007

Table 7.

GRADE Evidence Profile comparing methotrexate vs. no methotrexate for achieving steroid-free remission, and preventing relapse in patients with steroid-dependent moderate to severe ulcerative colitis


Methotrexate COMPARED TO No Methotrexate FOR MODERATE TO SEVERE ULCERATIVE COLITIS
Outcomes Study event rates (95% CI) Relative effect (95% CI) Absolute effect* No of participants (studies) Quality of the evidence (GRADE)
Risk without methotrexate Risk with methotrexate
Achieving clinical remission (CRITICAL) 30/96 (31.3%) 40/102 (39.2%) RR 1.31 (0.89 to 1.94) 97 more per 1,000 (from 34 fewer to 294 more) 198 (3 RCTs) ⨁◯◯◯1,2 VERY LOW
Relapse after achieving remission (CRITICAL) 39/60 (65.0%) 44/65 (67.7%) RR 1.01 (0.79 to 1.29) 7 more per 1,000 (from 136 fewer to 189 more) 125 (3 RCTs) ⨁◯◯◯1,2 VERY LOW
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect
1

Rated down for indirectness (different modes of administering MTX, majority of patients received corticosteroids for inducing remission)

2

Rated down for very serious imprecision with very wide CIs