Table 5.

Probable scenario: 12 Projections with highest probability.

No.	Projection for 2025
1	The problem of energy supply (e.g. scarcity of fossil fuels, nuclear power) remains unsolved globally
8	Global sourcing, production and distribution are common practice in almost all markets and value chains worldwide
9	The quality of a company’s global networks and relationships has become the key determinant of competitiveness
10	Many developing and emerging countries have narrowed the gap to the industrial nations by economically catching up in the tertiary and quaternary industry sectors
14	Customer demands for convenience, simplicity, promptness, and flexibility have turned logistics into a decisive success factor for customer retention
20	Paperless transport has become common practice in national and international transport business
21	Due to the integration of physical and electronic document flows, almost all documents reach their receiver the same day
30	The demand for high-value, customised logistics services has increased disproportionately
31	Small and medium-sized specialised logistics service providers have merged into global networks in order to stay competitive
32	Customers increasingly demand consultancy services from logistics service providers in order to cope with the increasing complexity and dynamism in their markets
33	The market for digitised document logistics has largely displaced the market for physical document logistics
34	Alternative distribution networks have been established in the CEP-market (courier, express, parcel). Petrol stations, kiosks, and local public transport are increasingly used for pickup and delivery of parcels