Table 2.
Performance of the ARIMA model.
| ARIMA |
ANN |
Regression |
Consensus |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training | Testing | Training | Testing | Training | Testing | Training | Testing | |
| MAPE | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.28 | 2.87 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| RMSE | 242.3 | 156.7 | 244.1 | 433.0 | 195.9 | 147.4 | 191.7 | 147.3 |
| Annualized return (%) | 59.9 | 19.6 | 56.9 | 4.4 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 27.1 | 5.1 |
| Sharp ratio | 0.898 | 3.616 | 1.081 | 0.143 | 0.691 | 0.127 | 0.781 | 0.392 |
The lowest MAPE and RMSE and the highest Sharp ratio are bolded.