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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 13.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Intern Med. 2019 Oct 8;171(8):555–567. doi: 10.7326/M19-1152

Table 2.

Predicted significance vs observed significance for primary (or first listed, when primary was not specified) effect sizes among all included studies, and stratified by quality metric category.

P < 0.05 threshold P < 0.005 threshold
Number of studies Predicted significance Observed significance P-value Predicted significance Observed significance P-value
Full cohort 142 62% 104 (73%) 0.011 46% 96 (68%) <0.001
 Best Practices 14 12% 9 (64%) 0.001 2% 8 (57%) 0.001
 Communication 5 43% 3 (60%) 0.67 40% 3 (60%) 0.63
 Medical Errors 32 50% 20 (62%) 0.169 33% 15 (47%) 0.182
 Patient Outcomes 17 64% 9 (53%) NPa 54% 9 (53%) NPa
 Quality & Safety 74 65% 62 (84%) <0.001 50% 60 (81%) <0.001
a

NP: not pertinent, observed smaller than predicted