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. 2020 Apr 7;323(13):1277–1285. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.1943

Table 3. Risk of All-Cause Mortality Overall and by Subgroups in Patients With Celiac Disease and Matched General Population Comparators.

Group No. (%) Time at risk, y No. (%) events Mortality rate (95% CI)
per 1000 person-years
HR (95% CI)
Celiac disease Comparators Celiac disease Comparators Celiac disease Comparators Celiac disease Comparators Conditioneda Conditioned
and adjustedb
Overall 49 829 (100) 246 426 (100) 678 990 3 377 760 6596 13.2) 28 890 (11.7) 9.7 (9.5-9.9) 8.6 (8.5-8.7) 1.21 (1.17-1.25) 1.14 1.11-1.18)
Follow-up, y
0-<1 49 829 (100) 246 426 (100) 49 322 244 945 757 (1.5) 1599 (0.6) 15.3 (14.3-16.4) 6.5 (6.2-6.8) 2.34 (2.14-2.55) 2.14 (1.92-2.39)
≥1-<5 48 899 (98.1) 243 135 (98.7) 182 394 905 577 1414 (2.9) 6323 (2.6) 7.8 (7.3-8.2) 7.0 (6.8-7.2) 1.14 (1.07-1.21) 1.10 (1.03-1.17)
≥5-<10 41 516 (83.3) 205 882 (83.5) 179 030 887 869 1602 (3.9) 7382 (3.6) 8.9 (8.5-9.4) 8.3 (8.1-8.5) 1.09 (1.02-1.15) 1.02 (0.96-1.08)
≥10 30 251 (60.7) 149 993 (60.9) 268 241 1 339 368 2823 (9.3) 13 586 (9.1) 10.5 (10.1-10.9) 10.1 (10.0-10.3) 1.15 (1.10-1.20) 1.09 (1.04-1.14)
≥1 48 899 (98.1) 243 135 (98.7) 629 667 3 132 815 5839 (11.9) 27 291 (11.2) 9.3 (9.0-9.5) 8.7 (8.6-8.8) 1.13 (1.09-1.16) 1.07 (1.04-1.11)
Female sex 31 086 (62.4) 154 056 (62.5) 429 231 2 127 213 3308 (10.6) 14 663 (9.5) 7.7 (7.4-8.0) 6.9 (6.8-7.0) 1.20 (1.15-1.25) 1.13 (1.08-1.18)
Male sex 18 743 (37.6) 92 370 (37.5) 249 758 1 250 547 3288 (17.5) 14 227 (15.4) 13.2 (12.7-13.6) 11.4 (11.2-11.6) 1.22 (1.17-1.27) 1.16 (1.11-1.21)
Age, y
<18 19 632 (39.4) 98 080 (39.8) 301 673 1 486 310 125 (0.6) 398 (0.4) 0.4 (0.3-0.5) 0.3 (0.2-0.3) 1.56 (1.27-1.91) 1.35 (1.08-1.68)
≥18-<40 10 913 (21.9) 54 212 (22.0) 144 239 712 441 277 (2.5) 818 (1.5) 1.9 (1.7-2.1) 1.1 (1.1-1.2) 1.69 (1.47-1.94) 1.36 (1.16-1.60)
≥40-<60 9946 (20.0) 49 268 (20.0) 146 049 734 633 1467 (14.7) 6207 (12.6) 10.0 (9.5-10.6) 8.4 (8.2-8.7) 1.20 (1.13-1.27) 1.12 (1.05-1.19)
≥60 9338 (18.7) 44 866 (18.2) 87 028 444 373 4727 (50.6) 21 467 (47.8) 54.3 (52.8-55.9) 48.3 (47.7-49.0) 1.18 (1.14-1.22) 1.13 (1.09-1.17)
Year
1969-1989 4339 (8.7) 21 604 (8.8) 114 629 575 538 1198 (27.6) 5536 (25.6) 10.5 (9.9-11.0) 9.6 (9.4-9.9) 1.18 (1.10-1.26) 1.10 (1.02-1.18)
1990-1999 13 585 (27.3) 67 331 (27.3) 267 823 1 341 976 2862 (21.1) 12 428 (18.5) 10.7 (10.3-11.1) 9.3 (9.1-9.4) 1.27 (1.22-1.33) 1.20 (1.14-1.25)
2000-2009 19 914 (40.0) 98 232 (39.9) 239 014 1 175 498 2105 (10.6) 9354 (9.5) 8.8 (8.4-9.2) 8.0 (7.8-8.1) 1.12 (1.07-1.18) 1.07 (1.01-1.12)
2010-2017 11 991 24.1) 59 259 (24.0) 57 523 284 746 431 (3.6) 1572 (2.7) 7.5 (6.8-8.2) 5.5 (5.2-5.8) 1.35 (1.21-1.51) 1.29 (1.15-1.45)
Country of birth
Nordic 47 765 (95.9) 226 192 (91.8) 657 328 3 167 915 6407 (13.4) 27 571 (12.2) 9.7 (9.5-10.0) 8.7 (8.6-8.8) 1.20 (1.17-1.24) 1.14 (1.10-1.17)
Other 2062 (4.1) 20 222 (8.2) 21 650 209 739 189 (9.2) 1318 (6.5) 8.7 (7.5-10.0) 6.3 (5.9-6.6) 1.69 (1.11-2.58) 1.60 (1.01-2.51)
Level of education, y
≤9 9706 (19.5) 50 073 (20.3) 126 965 666 678 2744 (28.3) 12 657 (25.3) 21.6 (20.8-22.4) 19.0 (18.7-19.3) 1.19 (1.13-1.26) 1.14 (1.08-1.20)
10-12 18 441 (37.0) 90 913 (36.9) 275 979 1 346 506 1621 (8.8) 7014 (7.7) 5.9 (5.6-6.2) 5.2 (5.1-5.3) 1.18 (1.10-1.27) 1.11 (1.03-1.20)
>12 14 827 (29.8) 70 702 (28.7) 209 099 1 020 551 673 (4.5) 2624 (3.7) 3.2 (3.0-3.5) 2.6 (2.5-2.7) 1.31 (1.14-1.50) 1.20 (1.04-1.38)
Missing 6855 (13.8) 34 738 (14.1) 66 946 344 024 1558 (22.7) 6595 (19.0) 23.3 (22.1-24.4) 19.2 (18.7-19.6) 1.18 (1.09-1.26) 1.11 (1.03-1.20)
Comorbidity
Type 1 diabetes 1565 (3.1) 667 (0.3) 19 239 7553 87 (5.6) 57 (8.5) 4.5 (3.6-5.5) 7.5 (5.6-9.5)
Autoimmune thyroid disease 1126 (2.3) 1852 (0.8) 10 230 15 199 240 (21.3) 456 (24.6) 23.5 (20.5-26.4) 30.0 (27.2-32.8) 1.23 (0.65-2.31) 1.58 (0.73-3.42)
Rheumatoid arthritis 423 (0.8) 1096 (0.4) 4101 10 021 142 (33.6) 379 (34.6) 34.6 (28.9-40.3) 37.8 (34.0-41.6) 2.50 (0.49-12.89) 2.87 (0.47-17. 1)
Inflammatory bowel disease 1401 (2.8) 365 (0.1) 20 167 4803 260 (18.6) 67 (18.4) 12.9 (11.3-14.5) 13.9 (10.6-17.3) 6.00 (0.72-49.84)
a

Conditioned on matching set (age, sex, county, and calendar period).

b

Conditioned on matching set and further adjusted for education, Nordic country of birth, and time dependent medical comorbidities (type 1 diabetes, autoimmune thyroid disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and inflammatory bowel disease.