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. 2020 Apr 8;2020(4):CD013574. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013574

Ferguson 2020.

Study characteristics
Study design Modeling study
Modified, individual‐based simulation model
R0 = 2–2.6 (2.4 at baseline); incubation period 5.1 days; mean infectious period 6.5 days; symptomatic individuals are 50% more infectious than asymptomatic individuals
Objectives To assess the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on the death rate and the peak healthcare demand during a COVID‐19 epidemic.
Study details Setting: UK
Data based on census data to define age and household distribution size, data on average class sizes and staff‐student ratios, data on the distribution of workplace size
n = NR
Interventions
  • Case isolation in the home

  • Voluntary home quarantine

  • Social distancing of those over 70 years of age

  • Social distancing of the entire population

  • Closure of schools and universities

Notes