Table 21:
Predicted Yearly Number of Patients With Cardiogenic Shock Receiving Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation or Standard Care in Ontario, Among Eligible Patients
| Year | Total Eligible for ECMO | Current Scenario | New Scenario | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMO, n (Uptake) | Standard Care, n | ECMO, n (Uptake) | Standard Care, n | ||
| Reference case: annual 5% increase in uptake | |||||
| 2019 | 131 | 42 (32.1%) | 89 | 49 (37.4%) | 85 |
| 2020 | 132 | 42 (31.8%) | 90 | 56 (42.4%) | 81 |
| 2021 | 135 | 43 (31.9%) | 92 | 64 (47.4%) | 78 |
| 2022 | 137 | 43 (31.4%) | 94 | 72 (52.4%) | 74 |
| 2023 | 138 | 44 (31.9%) | 94 | 73 (57.4%) | 70 |
| Scenario analysis: aggressive uptake, reaching 90% by year 5 | |||||
| 2019 | 131 | 42 (32.1%) | 89 | 58 (44.3%) | 73 |
| 2020 | 132 | 42 (31.8%) | 90 | 74 (56.1%) | 58 |
| 2021 | 135 | 43 (31.9%) | 92 | 93 (68.9%) | 42 |
| 2022 | 137 | 43 (31.4%) | 94 | 111 (81.0%) | 26 |
| 2023 | 138 | 44 (31.9%) | 94 | 129 (93.5%) | 9 |
Abbreviation: ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.