Table 1.
Association of health programs with severe malaria case fatality rate estimated from the spatio-temporal model adjusted by contextual factors.
| Predictor | Adjusted IRR (95% BCI) |
|---|---|
| Free of charge health care | |
| No | 1 |
| Yes | 0.47 (0.38, 0.58) |
| Availability of mRDT a | 0.54 (0.47, 0.62) |
| Availability of treatment a | 0.50 (0.41, 0.61) |
| Use ACT for treatment a | 0.54 (0.47, 0.62) |
| Global acute malnutrition | |
| <10% | 1 |
| ≥10% | 1.06 (0.99, 1.13) |
| Distance (km) b | |
| <5 | 1 |
| ≥5 | 1.12(1.03, 1.22) |
| Population nurse ratio | |
| <5000 | 1 |
| ≥5000 | 1.07 (0.99, 1.15) |
| Spatial variance | Mean [95% BCI] |
| Non-structural Variance | 1.036 (1.035, 1.037) |
| Structural Variance | 1.028 (1.027, 1.029) |
| Temporal variance | Mean [95% BCI] |
| Structural variance | 1.209 (1.063, 1.955) |
| Interaction variance | 1.170 (1.169, 1.172) |
a Coverage (availability of malaria rapid diagnostic test (mRDT) and treatment) and use of artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) for treatment were modelled on a scale of 0 to 1; therefore, a one unit increase in coverage corresponds to a 100% increase, which implies a shift of the current value by 100%. b Distance to the nearest health facility.