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. 2020 Apr 2;7:76. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00076
Secondary Outcomes from Dulai Prediction Models
Low probability Intermediate probability High probability p-value
Drug exposure Pre-Dose VDZ Concentrations (ug/mL) by Probability of Response
Week 2 UC 22.9 27.4 32 <0.001
CD 24.7 28.45 32.7 <0.001
Week 6 UC 17.2 23.5 34.9 <0.001
CD 15.3 23.5 33.4 <0.001
Week 22 UC 18.0 23.8 32.5 <0.001
CD 15.8 23.4 30.3 <0.001
Week 46 UC 22.5 27.8 31.5 0.016
CD 18.7 25.8 32.6 0.0008
Onset of action Change in Partial Mayo Score (UC) or Harvey-Bradshaw Index (CD) from Baseline by Probability of Response
Week 6 UC −1.22 −1.89 −2.21 <0.001
CD −1.69 −2.61 −4.22 <0.001
Week 22 UC −2.68 −3.2 −3.75 0.003
CD −3.76 −4.53 −5.82 <0.001
Week 38 UC −3.24 −4.21 −4.13 0.002
CD −4.62 −5.57 −6.76 <0.001
Week 52 UC −3.64 −4.42 −4.33 0.029
CD −4.68 −6.32 −7.17 <0.001

AUROC, Area Under Receiver Operator Curse; CSFR, Corticosteroid-Free Remission; CSFER, Corticosteroid-Free Endoscopic Remission; CREM, Clinical Remission; CSF-REM, Corticosteroid-free Remission; MH, Mucosal Healing; DR, Deep Remission.

Dulai et al. CDST for CD Probability of response: Low (Intermediate ≤ 13), Intermediate (>13 to ≤19 points), High (>19 points).

Dulai et al. CDST for UC Probability of response: Low (≤ 26 points), Intermediate (>26 to ≤32 points), High (>32 points).