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. 2020 Feb 28;12(3):649. doi: 10.3390/nu12030649

Table 2.

Proportion of consumers of discretionary foods, daily consumption (kJ), and energy intake reductions modelled (kJ).

Age (Years) SSBs Sweet Biscuits Cakes Chocolate Salty Snacks Confectionery Muesli Bars Frozen Milk Products
2 to 4 Proportion of consumers 40% 44% 21% 19% 22% 21% 18% 24%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 323 548 1380 549 612 198 552 549
Mean kJ per day (population) 128 240 294 107 137 42 102 132
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 8 22 8 5 13 8 10 11
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 36 42 18 14 20 18 18 22
5 to 12 Proportion of consumers 55% 41% 28% 26% 39% 20% 22% 31%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 409 684 1856 747 763 333 628 933
Mean kJ per day (population) 226 282 523 196 298 68 140 289
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 11 20 11 7 22 8 12 14
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 50 40 24 19 35 18 22 28
13 to 18 Proportion of consumers 64% 27% 22% 26% 28% 16% 16% 24%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 573 864 1938 1086 956 411 659 1103
Mean kJ per day (population) 364 232 426 285 271 65 108 270
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 13 13 8 7 16 6 9 11
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 57 26 19 19 25 14 17 22
19 to 24 Proportion of consumers 58% 16% 18% 21% 19% 11% 11% 16%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 615 1101 1965 869 1041 653 810 1161
Mean kJ per day (population) 354 181 361 182 196 73 93 191
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 31 8 7 5 11 4 6 7
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 52 16 16 15 17 10 12 15
25 to 34 Proportion of consumers 49% 23% 18% 24% 17% 10% 10% 17%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 603 729 2056 913 1050 437 747 1017
Mean kJ per day (population) 296 167 378 215 177 43 75 170
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 26 11 7 6 9 4 5 7
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 44 22 16 17 15 8 10 15
35 to 44 Proportion of consumers 38% 23% 22% 23% 15% 10% 11% 15%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 573 648 1972 905 890 434 722 877
Mean kJ per day (population) 218 152 438 211 134 45 76 130
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 20 12 8 6 8 4 6 7
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 34 23 19 17 13 9 11 14
45 to 54 Proportion of consumers 30% 23% 23% 22% 12% 11% 8% 15%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 562 665 2028 943 970 446 744 1021
Mean kJ per day (population) 171 155 457 210 120 49 56 156
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 16 12 9 6 7 4 4 7
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 28 23 19 16 11 10 8 14
55 to 64 Proportion of consumers 29% 28% 24% 21% 8% 11% 6% 18%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 479 652 1608 949 715 361 703 917
Mean kJ per day (population) 137 185 387 199 58 40 40 164
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 15 14 9 5 5 4 3 8
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 26 27 21 15 7 10 6 16
65 to 74 Proportion of consumers 25% 37% 29% 20% 7% 11% 3% 21%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 394 550 1689 557 617 390 920 788
Mean kJ per day (population) 100 203 482 111 46 43 24 166
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 14 18 11 5 4 4 1 9
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 23 36 24 14 7 10 3 19
75 and over Consumers 27% 42% 28% 17% 5% 12% 2% 25%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 375 542 1681 580 820 340 763 790
Mean kJ per day (population) 102 230 472 100 41 41 15 200
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 15 21 11 4 3 5 1 11
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 25 41 24 13 4 10 2 23
population Consumers 40% 29% 23% 22% 5% 13% 10% 20%
Mean kJ per day (consumers) 527 681 1850 860 861 402 678 908
Mean kJ per day (population) 211 200 432 192 143 52 69 180
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 1 * 21 15 9 6 9 5 5 9
kJ reduction per day (population) - scenario 2 * 36 28 20 16 15 11 10 18

Notes: kJ kilojoule; * scenario 1 reduction of 1 serving size per week with substitution, scenario 2 reduction of 1 serving size per week without substitution; SSBs: sugar sweetened beverages. Variability around each of these inputs (95% CI) were incorporated into the modelled results, however have not been shown.