Table 2.
Comparison of different forecasting methods.
| Forecasting methods | Average forecasting error of prophylactic demanders |
Average forecasting error of treatment demanders |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In one week (%) | In two weeks (%) | In one month (%) | In one week (%) | In two weeks (%) | In one month (%) | |
| Basic model | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 3.55 | 3.99 | 45.84 |
| Extended Model 1 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 3.54 | 3.96 | 44.80 |
| Standard SEIR model | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 12.02 | 13.75 | 43.07 |
| Moving average method | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 11.61 | 8.17 | 13.10 |
∗ The original point of forecasting is 10th February.